Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Koen Kostons 45'+1' goal
  • Olivier Aertssen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tjaronn Chery  5'
  • goal Tjaronn Chery  23'
  • yellowcard Almugera Kabar 63'
  • yellowcard Dusan Tadic 70'
  • yellowcard Tobias Storm 73'
  • goal Perr Schuurs   83'

PEC Zwolle vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 8.00pm
Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Koen Kostons

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.00pm
Nijmegen 0 - 0 Excelsior
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Tjaronn Chery 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

PEC Zwolle 28.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 23.97%
NEC 47.85% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.33% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.01% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 68.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.05% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 21.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 40.17% ▼ (-0.08)
NEC 37.88% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 37.19%
No Goal 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
NEC 56.48% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 30.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 45.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 42.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 35.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 64.86% ▼ (-0.02)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 30.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.57% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 88.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.7% ▼ (-0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 77.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.8%
Under 2.5 78.2%
Over 3.5 8.55%
Under 3.5 91.45%

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 28.18%
Draw 23.97%
NEC 47.86%
PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.97%
NEC
0-1 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.41%
Total : 47.86%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Jan 24, 2026 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Dirk Proper 23' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 39' goal
  • Deveron Fonville 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kers 75' yellowcard
  • Virgil Misidjan 75' yellowcard
  • Brayann Pereira 75' yellowcard
  • Tjaronn Chery 78' goal
  • Jetro Willems 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Younes Namli 15'
  • yellowcard Jan Faberski 76'
  • yellowcard Kaj de Rooij 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriël Reiziger 89'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Thierry Lutonda 68' yellowcard
  • goal Koki Ogawa 23'
  • yellowcard Bryan Linssen 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Brayann Pereira 55' yellowcard
  • Rober 87' goal
  • yellowcard Nick Fichtinger 36'
  • yellowcard Anouar El Azzouzi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thierry Lutonda 46'
  • redcard Thierry Lutonda 64'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Mees Hoedemakers 27' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 47' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 53' goal
  • Philippe Sandler 86' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Lam 10'
  • yellowcard Anouar El Azzouzi 28'
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 36'
  • yellowcard Anselmo Garcia McNulty 38'
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 68'
  • yellowcard Lennart Czyborra 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Younes Namli 75' goal
  • Davy van den Berg 90' yellowcard
  • goal Elayis Tavsan 43'
  • goal Bart van Rooij 46'
  • goal Youri Baas 90'+2'