Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2026 7.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
Ajax 1 - 3 PSV
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Tolu Arokodare

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 67.44%. A draw has a probability of 19.63% and a win for Willem II has a probability of 12.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%) , while for a Willem II win it is 0-1 (3.98%).

Result

Ajax 67.44%
Draw 19.63%
Willem II 12.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.71%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.56%
Under 1.5 20.44%
Over 2.5 58.46%
Under 2.5 41.54%
Over 3.5 37.53%
Under 3.5 62.47%
Over 4.5 25.13%
Under 4.5 74.87%

First Half Winner

Ajax 51.11%
Draw 34.42%
Willem II 14.47%

Team To Score First

Ajax 69.71%
No Goal 5.42%
Willem II 24.87%

Corners

Over 8 67.42%
Equal 8 10.47%
Under 8 22.11%
Over 9 55.9%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 32.58%
Over 10.5 44.34%
Under 10.5 55.66%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 63.1%
Under 1.5 36.9%
Over 2.5 36.94%
Under 2.5 63.06%
Over 3.5 18.16%
Under 3.5 81.84%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 47.29%
Under 0.5 52.71%
Over 1.5 18.23%
Under 1.5 81.77%
Over 2.5 4.7%
Under 2.5 95.3%
Over 3.5 1.32%
Under 3.5 98.68%

Score analysis

Ajax 67.44%
Draw 19.64%
Willem II 12.93%
Ajax
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 6.82%
3-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 18.08%
Total : 67.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64%
0-0 @ 5.42%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 19.64%
Willem II
0-1 @ 3.98%
1-2 @ 3.58%
0-2 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 12.93%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jens Mathijsen 8' yellowcard
  • Emilio Kehrer 41' goal
  • goal Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 74'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Davy Klaassen 6' goal
  • Anton Gaaei 54' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2022 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dan Crowley 34' yellowcard
  • goal Jurrien Maduro 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2021 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Antony 15' goal
  • Lisandro Martinez 18' goal
  • Antony 23' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 71' goal
  • Danilo 76' goal
  • yellowcard Dries Saddiki 56'
  • yellowcard John Yeboah 89'
  • yellowcard Derrick Kohn 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Davy Klaassen 51' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 83' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 87' goal
  • Perr Schuurs 89' yellowcard
  • Daley Blind 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 62'
Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 54' goal
  • goal Antony 4'
  • yellowcard Antony 66'