Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2026 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Davy Klaassen  41' goal
  • Julian Brandt 45' goal
  • Viktor Tsygankov 69' goal
  • Oscar Gloukh 74' goal
  • Kasper Dolberg 87' goal
  • goal Alessandro Ciranni 76'

Ajax vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.00pm
Sittard 1 - 5 Ajax
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
AZ 1 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.96% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%) , while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (4.5%).

Result

Ajax 63.48% ▼ (-3.97)
Draw 20.96% ▲ (+1.34)
Willem II 15.59% ▲ (+2.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.76% ▲ (+1.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.46% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 1.5 21.54% ▲ (+1.10)
Over 2.5 56.81% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 2.5 43.19% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 3.5 35.69% ▼ (-1.85)
Under 3.5 64.31% ▲ (+1.85)
Over 4.5 23% ▼ (-2.13)
Under 4.5 77% ▲ (+2.13)

First Half Winner

Ajax 50.42% ▼ (-0.69)
Draw 31.47% ▼ (-2.96)
Willem II 18.11% ▲ (+3.64)

Team To Score First

Ajax 63.27% ▼ (-6.44)
No Goal 5.96% ▲ (+0.54)
Willem II 30.77% ▲ (+5.90)

Corners

Over 8 70.42% ▲ (+3.00)
Equal 8 9.88% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 8 19.7% ▼ (-2.41)
Over 9 59.26% ▲ (+3.36)
Equal 9 11.16% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 9 29.58% ▼ (-3.00)
Over 10.5 47.76% ▲ (+3.42)
Under 10.5 52.24% ▼ (-3.42)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 59.58% ▼ (-3.53)
Under 1.5 40.42% ▲ (+3.53)
Over 2.5 33.2% ▼ (-3.74)
Under 2.5 66.8% ▲ (+3.74)
Over 3.5 15.04% ▼ (-3.13)
Under 3.5 84.96% ▲ (+3.12)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 51.08% ▲ (+3.79)
Under 0.5 48.92% ▼ (-3.79)
Over 1.5 20.92% ▲ (+2.70)
Under 1.5 79.08% ▼ (-2.69)
Over 2.5 5.79% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 2.5 94.21% ▼ (-1.10)
Over 3.5 1.64% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 98.36% ▼ (-0.33)

Score analysis

Ajax 63.48%
Draw 20.97%
Willem II 15.58%
Ajax
1-0 @ 11.11% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.41% ▼ (-0.41)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.85)
3-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 14.95% ▼ (-3.13)
Total : 63.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.58)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.54)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.97%
Willem II
0-1 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.52)
1-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.73)
0-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.38)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.32)
Total : 15.58%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jens Mathijsen 8' yellowcard
  • Emilio Kehrer 41' goal
  • goal Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 74'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Davy Klaassen 6' goal
  • Anton Gaaei 54' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2022 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dan Crowley 34' yellowcard
  • goal Jurrien Maduro 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2021 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Antony 15' goal
  • Lisandro Martinez 18' goal
  • Antony 23' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 71' goal
  • Danilo 76' goal
  • yellowcard Dries Saddiki 56'
  • yellowcard John Yeboah 89'
  • yellowcard Derrick Kohn 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Davy Klaassen 51' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 83' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 87' goal
  • Perr Schuurs 89' yellowcard
  • Daley Blind 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 62'
Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 54' goal
  • goal Antony 4'
  • yellowcard Antony 66'