Conference League Gameweek 2
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 22.91% and a draw has a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win is 1-2 (6.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.01%).

Result

Ajax 57.56% ▲ (+2.79)
Draw 19.53% ▼ (-1.02)
Atalanta BC 22.91% ▼ (-1.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.3% ▲ (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.76% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 1.5 17.24% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 2.5 62.89% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 37.11% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 3.5 39.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 60.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 26.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 73.98% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Ajax 48.61% ▼ (-0.80)
Draw 34.68% ▲ (+1.55)
Atalanta BC 16.71% ▼ (-0.75)

Team To Score First

Ajax 68.55% ▲ (+3.76)
No Goal 3.92% ▼ (-0.24)
Atalanta BC 27.53% ▼ (-3.53)

Corners

Over 8 58.22% ▼ (-0.56)
Equal 8 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 31.58% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 9 47.75% ▼ (-0.51)
Equal 9 10.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 41.78% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 10.5 37.8% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 10.5 62.2% ▲ (+0.45)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 57.73% ▲ (+1.92)
Under 1.5 42.27% ▼ (-1.92)
Over 2.5 32.91% ▲ (+1.49)
Under 2.5 67.09% ▼ (-1.49)
Over 3.5 15.5% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 3.5 84.5% ▼ (-0.74)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 58.82% ▼ (-1.79)
Under 0.5 41.18% ▲ (+1.79)
Over 1.5 28.72% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 1.5 71.28% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 2.5 10.33% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 2.5 89.67% ▲ (+0.96)
Over 3.5 3.4% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 96.6% ▲ (+0.37)

Score analysis

Ajax 57.56%
Draw 19.54%
Atalanta BC 22.92%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.40)
1-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.35)
2-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.46)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.34)
3-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.50)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.32% ▲ (+0.75)
Total : 57.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.43)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 19.54%
Atalanta BC
1-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.39)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.35)
Total : 22.92%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 9, 2020 5.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Ryan Gravenberch 22' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 52' yellowcard
  • Ryan Gravenberch 79' redcard
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 60'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 82'
  • goal Luis Muriel 85'
Champions League
Oct 27, 2020 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT KKWing Stadium
  • Josip Ilicic 23' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 54' goal
  • Duvan Zapata 60' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 66' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskiy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lassina Traore 6'
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen 20'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 25'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 30'
  • goal Lassina Traore 38'