Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2026 3.45pm
Euroborg

Groningen vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 3.45pm
Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Brynjólfur Willumsson

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Groningen has a probability of 22.72% and a draw has a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Groningen win is 2-1 (5.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.55%).

Result

Groningen 22.72% ▲ (+0.37)
Draw 22.18% ▼ (-0.38)
Ajax 55.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.2% ▲ (+1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 82% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 18% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 2.5 61.69% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 38.31% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 39.91% ▲ (+2.01)
Under 3.5 60.09% ▼ (-2.01)
Over 4.5 25.93% ▲ (+1.38)
Under 4.5 74.07% ▼ (-1.38)

First Half Winner

Groningen 24.82% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 32.13% ▼ (-1.58)
Ajax 43.05% ▲ (+1.28)

Team To Score First

Groningen 38.58% ▼ (-1.65)
No Goal 4.59% ▼ (-0.49)
Ajax 56.83% ▲ (+2.13)

Corners

Over 8 68.66% ▲ (+3.50)
Equal 8 10.28% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 8 21.06% ▼ (-3.00)
Over 9 57.19% ▲ (+3.68)
Equal 9 11.47% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 9 31.34% ▼ (-3.51)
Over 10.5 45.54% ▲ (+3.51)
Under 10.5 54.46% ▼ (-3.51)

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 29.7% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 1.5 70.3% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 2.5 11.04% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 88.96% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 3.43% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 96.57% ▼ (-0.23)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 83% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 17% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 57.18% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 1.5 42.82% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 2.5 31.56% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 68.44% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 14.58% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 85.42% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Groningen 22.72%
Draw 22.18%
Ajax 55.07%
Groningen
2-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.32)
1-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.46)
Other @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 22.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.49)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.18%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.73)
2-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.54)
Other @ 14.23% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 55.07%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
May 21, 2026 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kras Stadion
  • Davy Klaassen 24' goal
  • Jorthy Mokio 57' goal
  • Youri Regeer 62' yellowcard
  • Maher Carrizo 71' yellowcard
  • Kasper Dolberg 71' yellowcard
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brynjólfur Willumsson 32'
  • yellowcard Ryan Metu 67'
  • yellowcard Wouter Prins 67'
  • yellowcard Mats Seuntjens 67'
  • yellowcard Rui Mendes 77'
Eredivisie
Mar 7, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Euroborg
  • Thom van Bergen 6' goal
  • Hidde Jurjus 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Rente 46' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 46' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 65' goal
  • Tika de Jonge 69' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 72' goal
  • Rui Mendes 76' yellowcard
  • Wouter Prins 82' yellowcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 30'
  • yellowcard Rayane Bounida 69'
  • yellowcard Kasper Dolberg 69'
  • yellowcard Maher Carrizo 83'
  • yellowcard Don-Angelo Konadu 88'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 88'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 88'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 90'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 30, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE
  • Mika Godts 28' goal
  • Aaron Bouwman 60' goal
  • Aaron Bouwman 64' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
  • Thom van Bergen 52' goal
  • Leandro Bacuna 55' yellowcard
  • Hjalmar Ekdal 81' yellowcard
  • Luciano Valente 90'+3' redcard
  • Thijmen Blokzijl 90'+9' goal
  • Etienne Vaessen 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Gaaei 27'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 68'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 72'
  • yellowcard Anton Gaaei 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Davy Klaassen 21' goal
  • Josip Sutalo 65' yellowcard
  • Youri Baas 73' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 83' yellowcard
  • Wout Weghorst 90'+1' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Stije Resink 42'
  • goal Jorg Schreuders 69'
  • yellowcard Thijmen Blokzijl 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 16, 2023 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Florian Kruger 39' goal
  • Laros Duarte 87' goal
  • goal Dusan Tadic 19'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 68'
  • goal Jurrien Maduro 81'