Conference League Gameweek 1
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

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Ajax

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Hajduk Split has a probability of 29.93% and a draw has a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win is 2-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

Hajduk Split 29.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 24.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Ajax 45.59% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 22.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 54.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 19.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.74% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Hajduk Split 29.94% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 36.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Ajax 34.01% ▲ (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Hajduk Split 45.36% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 6.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Ajax 48.37% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 55.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 33.15% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 43.37% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 44.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 32.67% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 10.5 67.33% ▼ (-0.13)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 1.5 33.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.88%
Under 2.5 87.12%
Over 3.5 4.7%
Under 3.5 95.3%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 75.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 24.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 45.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 21.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 29.92%
Draw 24.48%
Ajax 45.6%
Hajduk Split
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 2.01%
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 29.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.48%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 45.6%