Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
H. Be'er Sheva 0 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva has a probability of 23.3% and a draw has a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win is 0-1 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.72%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 54.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 22.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 23.3% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.14% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 37.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 38% ▲ (+0.08)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 24.76% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 57.28% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 35.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.34%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 38.37%
Over 9 39.47%
Equal 9 10.88%
Under 9 49.66%
Over 10.5 29.79%
Under 10.5 70.21%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 48.59%
Under 1.5 51.41%
Over 2.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals

Over 0.5 54.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.8% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 54.33%
Draw 22.41%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 23.32%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 12.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 54.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72%
0-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.41%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
0-1 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.32%