Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2026 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mexx Meerdink 19' goal
  • Wouter Goes 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerald Alders 41'

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
AZ 1 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal

Telstar

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.30pm
Heerenveen 0 - 0 Telstar
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Ronald Koeman Jr.

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 70% ▼ (-0.41)
Draw 19% ▲ (+0.08)
Telstar 11% ▲ (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.13% ▲ (+0.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 22.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 55.53% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 44.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 34.57% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 65.43% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 23.91% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 76.09% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 58.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 29.49% ▼ (-0.14)
Telstar 11.64% ▲ (+0.31)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 71.79%
No Goal 6.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Telstar 21.75% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 67.53% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 8 10.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 22.28% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 9 56.3% ▼ (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 32.47% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 10.5 44.98% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 10.5 55.02% ▲ (+0.35)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 62.54% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 37.46% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 37.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 62.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 18.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 81.25% ▼ (-0.13)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5 42.38% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 57.62% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 14.02% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 85.98% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 3.14% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 96.86% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 0.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 99.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 70%
Draw 19%
Telstar 10.99%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 6.64%
3-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 18.71% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 70%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19%
Telstar
0-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 10.99%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
Mar 4, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Danny Bakker 47' goal
  • Neville Ogidi Nwankwo 51' goal
  • Denso Kasius 62' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 77' yellowcard
  • Kasper Boogaard 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrese Noslin 22'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Owusu 62'
  • yellowcard Patrick Brouwer 62'
  • yellowcard Soufiane Hetli 73'
  • yellowcard Kay Tejan 73'
  • goal Kay Tejan 74'
Eredivisie
Jan 25, 2026 11.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BUKO Stadion
  • Dylan Mertens 65' yellowcard
  • Adil Lechkar 65' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Hamdaoui 76' yellowcard
  • Kay Tejan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxim Dekker 46'
  • yellowcard Isak Jensen 46'
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 58'
  • goal Isak Jensen 78'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 81'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT