Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2026 3.45pm
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 8.00pm
Sparta 3 - 2 Willem II
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Milan Zonneveld

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.45pm
Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw has a probability of 21.87% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam has a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it is 2-1 (5.63%).

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 21.07% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 21.87%
Ajax 57.05% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.68% ▲ (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.68% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 17.32% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 62.65% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 37.35% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 40.49% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 59.51% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 4.5 26.23% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 73.77% ▼ (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Sparta Rotterdam 23.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 32.35% ▲ (+0.10)
Ajax 44.16% ▼ (-0.21)

Team To Score First

Sparta Rotterdam 37.89% ▲ (+0.10)
No Goal 4.45% ▼ (-0.15)
Ajax 57.66% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 69.14% ▼ (-0.46)
Equal 8 9.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 21.35% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 9 58.55% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 9 10.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 30.86% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 10.5 47.68% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 10.5 52.32% ▲ (+0.44)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 1.5 28.37% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 71.63% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 10.84% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 89.16% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 3.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.76% ▼ (-0.07)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 84.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 15.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 59.1% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 40.9% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 33.44% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 66.56% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 15.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 84.33% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 21.07%
Draw 21.87%
Ajax 57.05%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 21.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.87%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 15.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 57.05%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Joshua Kitolano 19' goal
  • Jorthy Mokio 25' yellowcard
  • Steven Berghuis 32' goal
  • Anton Gaaei 69' yellowcard
  • Don-Angelo Konadu 69' yellowcard
  • Kasper Dolberg 69' yellowcard
  • Davy Klaassen 73' goal
  • Mika Godts 76' goal
  • Rayane Bounida 81' yellowcard
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shurandy Sambo 46'
  • yellowcard Ayoni Santos 46'
  • yellowcard Casper Terho 70'
  • yellowcard Milan Zonneveld 70'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 4, 2025 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Daniele Rugani 52' yellowcard
  • Youri Regeer 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Patrick van Aanholt 27'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kitolano 36'
  • goal Mohamed Nassoh 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 11.15am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Pelle Clement 25' yellowcard
  • Patrick van Aanholt 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 77'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 87'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Arno Verschueren 28' goal
  • Arno Verschueren 47' goal
  • goal Chuba Akpom 65'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 88'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 89'
  • redcard Ahmetcan Kaplan 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Brian Brobbey 8' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 42' goal
  • goal Camiel Neghli 55'
  • yellowcard Jonathan de Guzman 68'