Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2026 8.00pm
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.30pm
Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 3 Sparta
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Milan Zonneveld

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 11.15am
Utrecht 3 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw has a probability of 24.15% and a win for Willem II has a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.09%) , while for a Willem II win it is 0-1 (6.53%).

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 51.84% ▲ (+0.56)
Draw 24.15% ▼ (-0.33)
Willem II 24.05% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.98% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 1.5 23.02% ▼ (-1.11)
Over 2.5 54.23% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 2.5 45.74% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 31.9% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 68.1% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 18.81% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 81.19% ▼ (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Sparta Rotterdam 41.62% ▲ (+1.90)
Draw 33.82% ▼ (-0.62)
Willem II 24.56% ▼ (-1.27)

Team To Score First

Sparta Rotterdam 54.33% ▲ (+1.86)
No Goal 6.16% ▼ (-0.42)
Willem II 39.51% ▼ (-1.45)

Corners

Over 8 75.08% ▲ (+1.82)
Equal 8 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 16.21% ▼ (-1.81)
Over 9 64.79% ▲ (+1.60)
Equal 9 10.28% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 9 24.92% ▼ (-1.82)
Over 10.5 53.7% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 10.5 46.3% ▼ (-1.18)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 1.5 50.41% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 1.5 49.59% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 2.5 24.57% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 75.43% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 9.5% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 90.5% ▲ (+0.16)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 60.77% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 39.23% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 27.78% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 72.22% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 9.52% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 90.48% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.17% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 51.83%
Draw 24.15%
Willem II 24.04%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.39)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.26)
Total : 51.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.15%
Willem II
0-1 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.27)
1-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.23)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.04%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alessandro Ciranni 23' yellowcard
  • Raffael Behounek 48' goal
  • goal Shunsuke Mito 21'
  • yellowcard Pelle Clement 34'
  • goal Shunsuke Mito 39'
  • goal Nokkvi Thorisson 57'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 79'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 88'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 26, 2025 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Tobias Lauritsen 20' goal
  • Mitchell van Bergen 63' goal
  • Said Bakari 64' yellowcard
  • Tobias Lauritsen 68' goal
  • Kristian Hlynsson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jesse Bosch 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jesse Bosch 27' yellowcard
  • Cisse Sandra 84' goal
  • goal Pelle Clement 48'
  • yellowcard Boyd Reith 55'
  • yellowcard Djevencio van der Kust 69'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kitolano 77'
  • goal Camiel Neghli 89'
  • yellowcard Rick Meissen 90'+6'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 12.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 4
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Emilio Kehrer 13' goal
  • Cisse Sandra 70' goal
  • goal Pelle Clement 7'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 24'
  • goal Pelle Clement 38'
  • goal Djevencio van der Kust 40'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bart Vriends 33' yellowcard
  • Younes Namli 59' goal
  • yellowcard Thijs Oosting 14'
  • yellowcard Timon Wellenreuther 59'