Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2026 11.15am
Stadion Galgenwaard

FC Utrecht vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 11.15am
Feyenoord 5 - 0 Utrecht
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Artem Stepanov

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 8.00pm
Willem II 0 - 1 Sittard
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw has a probability of 24.22% and a win for Willem II has a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Willem II win it is 1-2 (6.21%).

Result

FC Utrecht 53.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.22%
Willem II 22.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.59% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.58% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 21.42% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 56.53% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 43.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 34.43% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 3.5 65.57% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 4.5 20.96% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 79.04% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

FC Utrecht 38.41% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 35.64% ▲ (+0.18)
Willem II 25.94% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

FC Utrecht 54.49% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 5.97% ▼ (-0.09)
Willem II 39.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 70.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 9.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 19.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 60.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 29.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 49.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 50.94% ▼ (-0.04)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 1.5 52.41% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 47.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 27.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 72.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 11.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 59.54% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 40.46% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 27.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 72.23% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 9.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.17% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.81% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

FC Utrecht 53.05%
Draw 24.22%
Willem II 22.77%
FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 53.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.22%
Willem II
1-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 22.77%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 11.15am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Lambert Boris 17' goal
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 83' goal
  • goal Sebastien Haller 67'
  • goal Noah Ohio 75'
  • goal Adrian Blake 85'
  • yellowcard Adrian Blake 86'
  • yellowcard Noah Ohio 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Raffael Behounek 11' goal
  • Noah Ohio 37' goal
  • Souffian Elkarouani 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 53' goal
  • Paxten Aaronson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Cisse Sandra 29'
  • goal Cisse Sandra 43'
  • yellowcard Jesse Bosch 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ringo Meerveld 87'
  • yellowcard Amar Abdirahman Ahmed 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jizz Hornkamp 8' goal
  • Pol Llonch 49' yellowcard
  • Dries Saddiki 53' goal
  • Joris van Overeem 73' goal
  • yellowcard Simon Gustafson 56'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2021 3.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Bart Ramselaar 10' goal
  • Bart Ramselaar 25' goal
  • Adam Maher 38' yellowcard
  • Bart Ramselaar 67' goal
  • Mark van der Maarel 79' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Mallahi 83' goal
  • Joris van Overeem 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Leeroy Owusu 6'
  • goal Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 35'
  • yellowcard Dries Saddiki 72'
  • yellowcard Max Svensson 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 1, 2021 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sander van de Streek 4' goal
  • Adam Maher 33' yellowcard
  • Sven van Beek 45'+4' goal
  • Gyrano Kerk 68' goal
  • Simon Gustafson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Holmen 34'
  • yellowcard Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 37'
  • goal Sebastian Holmen 57'
  • goal Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2021 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Lindon Selahi 77' yellowcard
  • goal Hidde ter Avest 3'
  • goal Sander van de Streek 11'
  • goal Sander van de Streek 19'
  • goal Bart Ramselaar 47'
  • goal Gyrano Kerk 69'
  • goal Mark van der Maarel 86'