Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 26
Nov 6, 2021 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
4 - 1
Stabaek

Lindseth (5', 78'), Fardal Opseth (75', 86')
Karamoko (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bolly (79')
Bolly (68')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Stabaek Football.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Stabaek Football win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawStabaek Football
54.06%23.66%22.29%
Both teams to score 52.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28%47.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09%69.91%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44%17.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89%48.11%
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23%35.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45%72.55%
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 54.05%
    Stabaek Football 22.29%
    Draw 23.65%
Sarpsborg 08DrawStabaek Football
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.77%
2-0 @ 9.5%
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 22.29%