Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Molde had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
