Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Harrogate Town and Leicester City Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 52.1% | 24% | 23.91% |
| Both teams to score 53.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% | 47.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% | 69.72% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% | 18.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.77% | 49.23% |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% | 70.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town 52.09%
Leicester City Under-21s 23.91%
Draw 23.99%
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.09% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.91% |


