Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Gustavo Henrique 11' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 25' goal
  • Kaio César 60' yellowcard
  • André Carrillo 80' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 88' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Angulo 57'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 73'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 73'
  • yellowcard Abel Hernández  80'
  • yellowcard Franco González 81'

Corinthians vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
Corinthians 2 - 0 Santa Fe

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
Penarol 1 - 2 Platense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Corinthians 41.79% (-0.04)
Draw 27.58%
Penarol 30.63% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.74% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 41.25% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 58.75% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 20.71% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 79.29% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 10.87% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89.13% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 25.47%
Draw 46.96%
Penarol 27.57%

Team To Score First

Corinthians 46.31%
No Goal 10.01% (-0.01)
Penarol 43.68% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.55%
Equal 8 11.92%
Under 8 34.52%
Over 9 41.8%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 46.45%
Over 10.5 31.18%
Under 10.5 68.82%

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 35.72% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.28% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.09% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.91% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.53% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.47% (-0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 61.6% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.4% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.9% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.1% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 8.84% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.16% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.53% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.47% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Corinthians 41.8%
Draw 27.58%
Penarol 30.63%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.02)
Total : 41.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 27.58%
Penarol
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 6.8% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.44% (+0.01)
Total : 30.63%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
May 14, 2021 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Agustin Alvarez 5' goal
  • Agustin Alvarez 14' goal
  • Agustin Canobbio 53' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 57' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 65' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alvarez 69' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio Santos 9'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jo 49'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 29, 2021 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Fabio Santos 19' yellowcard
  • Gil 25' yellowcard
  • Victor Cantillo 63' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 64' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 64' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Gonzalez 13'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 35'
  • goal David Terans 56'
  • yellowcard Gary Kagelmacher 80'