Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 6, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Atletico Tucuman

Lanus
2 - 1
Tucuman

Sand (73' pen.), Esquivel (89')
Perez (23'), Quignon (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (24')
Acosta (45'), Aguirre (74')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Lanus and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawAtletico Tucuman
46.94%26.01%27.06%
Both teams to score 50.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77%53.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.79%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33%22.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69%56.31%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38%34.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65%71.35%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 46.93%
    Atletico Tucuman 27.06%
    Draw 26%
LanusDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.93%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.06%