Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.