Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.