Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Swansea 0 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw has a probability of 25.36% and a win for Swansea City has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Swansea City win it is 1-2 (6.38%).

Result

Southampton 49.82% (-0.08)
Draw 25.36% (+0.04)
Swansea City 24.82% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.54%
Under 2.5 46.46%
Over 3.5 31.18%
Under 3.5 68.82%
Over 4.5 18.13%
Under 4.5 81.87%

First Half Winner

Southampton 35.25%
Draw 42.29%
Swansea City 22.46%

Team To Score First

Southampton 56.7% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.42% (-0.01)
Swansea City 36.88%

Corners

Over 8 65.65%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 24.16%
Over 9 54.6%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 34.35%
Over 10.5 43.6%
Under 10.5 56.4%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 49.04% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 50.96% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.05% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 76.95% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.01% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.99% (+0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 61.3% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.7% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 28.72% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.28% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.37% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.63% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 49.82%
Draw 25.36%
Swansea City 24.81%
Southampton
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.75% (-0.02)
Total : 49.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.36%
Swansea City
1-2 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Total : 24.81%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Marko Stamenić 20' goal
  • Gustavo Nunes 60' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 60' yellowcard
  • Malick Yalcouyé 60' yellowcard
  • Malick Yalcouyé 61' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Nunes 61' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 61' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Adam Idah 68' yellowcard
  • Jay Fulton 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shea Emmanuel Charles 46'
  • goal Shea Emmanuel Charles 57'
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 68'
  • yellowcard Cameron Archer 88'
  • goal Cameron Archer 90'
  • yellowcard Samuel Edozie 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jack Stephens 90'+2'
Championship
Oct 18, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Jan 12, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 20' goal
  • Tyler Obling 35' goal
  • Tyler Obling 65' goal
  • Ryan Manning 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 60'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 78'
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamie Paterson 40' goal
  • Jay Fulton 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Harry Darling 78' yellowcard
  • goal Che Adams 6'
  • yellowcard Taylor Harwood-Bellis 17'
  • goal William Smallbone 20'
  • goal Flynn Downes 45'
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Joe Aribo 17' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 34' yellowcard
  • Joe Aribo 38' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 48' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 74' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 87' goal
  • Che Adams 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 24'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 55'
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 56'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 83'
FA Cup
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
ET Swansea.com Stadium
  • Ryan Bennett 43' yellowcard
  • Brandon Cooper 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 59' yellowcard
  • Joel Piroe 77' goal
  • Yan Dhanda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 94' goal
  • yellowcard Yan Valery 3'
  • goal Nathan Redmond 8'
  • redcard Yan Valery 30'
  • goal Mohamed Elyounoussi 95'
  • goal Shane Long 102'