Championship Gameweek 6
Southampton
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Swansea
  • Finn Azaz  9' goal
  • Cyle Larin 33' goal
  • Léo Scienza 78' goal
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 52'
  • yellowcard Ronald 54'

Southampton vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Swansea 0 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 49.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Swansea City 24.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 22.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 53.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.82% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Southampton 35.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 42.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Swansea City 22.41% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Southampton 56.74% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Swansea City 36.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 24.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 54.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 34.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 43.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 56.34% ▼ (-0.06)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 49.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 76.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 61.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.78% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 71.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 49.83%
Draw 25.31%
Swansea City 24.87%
Southampton
1-0 @ 10.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 49.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.31%
Swansea City
1-2 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.87%

Head to Head

Championship
Swansea
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
Southampton
  • Marko Stamenić 20' goal
  • Gustavo Nunes 60' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 60' yellowcard
  • Malick Yalcouyé 60' yellowcard
  • Malick Yalcouyé 61' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Nunes 61' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 61' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Adam Idah 68' yellowcard
  • Jay Fulton 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shea Emmanuel Charles 46'
  • goal Shea Emmanuel Charles 57'
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 68'
  • yellowcard Cameron Archer 88'
  • goal Cameron Archer 90'
  • yellowcard Samuel Edozie 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jack Stephens 90'+2'
Championship
Southampton
Oct 18, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swansea
FA Cup
Southampton
Jan 12, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Swansea
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 20' goal
  • Tyler Obling 35' goal
  • Tyler Obling 65' goal
  • Ryan Manning 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 60'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 78'
Championship Gameweek 28
Swansea
Jan 20, 2024 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Swansea.com Stadium
Southampton
  • Jamie Paterson 40' goal
  • Jay Fulton 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Harry Darling 78' yellowcard
  • goal Che Adams 6'
  • yellowcard Taylor Harwood-Bellis 17'
  • goal William Smallbone 20'
  • goal Flynn Downes 45'
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 24
Southampton
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Swansea
  • Joe Aribo 17' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 34' yellowcard
  • Joe Aribo 38' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 48' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 74' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 87' goal
  • Che Adams 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 24'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 55'
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 56'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 83'
FA Cup
Swansea
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
ET Swansea.com Stadium
Southampton
  • Ryan Bennett 43' yellowcard
  • Brandon Cooper 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 59' yellowcard
  • Joel Piroe 77' goal
  • Yan Dhanda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 94' goal
  • yellowcard Yan Valery 3'
  • goal Nathan Redmond 8'
  • redcard Yan Valery 30'
  • goal Mohamed Elyounoussi 95'
  • goal Shane Long 102'

Form Data

Lincoln 1 - 1 Southampton
Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Southampton 1 - 4 West Ham
Southampton 3 - 1 Stoke
Watford 2 - 1 Southampton
Swansea 0 - 0 Wrexham
Swansea 2 - 0 Watford
Derby 0 - 3 Swansea
Swansea 0 - 0 Sheff Utd
Stoke 1 - 2 Swansea
Swansea 0 - 1 Birmingham