Champions League header

Champions League

Malmo
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
HJK logo

Malmo
2 - 1
HJK Helsinki

Colak (45+1'), Christiansen (74')
Larsson (61'), Ahmedhodzic (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Riski (68')
Riski (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawHJK Helsinki
45.46%25.49%29.04%
Both teams to score 53.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97%72.02%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7%55.3%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58%31.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.79%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 45.46%
    HJK Helsinki 29.04%
    Draw 25.49%
MalmoDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.04%

How you voted: Malmo vs HJK Helsinki

Malmo
81.7%
Draw
11.0%
HJK Helsinki
7.3%
109