International Friendlies
Sep 27, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Toronto Stadium
  • Jonathan David 12' goal
  • Cyle Larin 72' yellowcard
  • Jamie Knight-Lebel 81' yellowcard
  • Promise David 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo  29'
  • redcard Lucas Cepeda 35'
  • redcard Gabriel Suazo  50'

Canada vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 12.30am
Canada 1 - 1 Rep. Ireland

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 9, 2026 5.00pm
Congo DR 0 - 0 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.82% and a win for Chile had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result

Canada 62.69%
Draw 22.82%
Chile 14.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.89%
Under 2.5 53.11%
Over 3.5 25.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 74.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Canada 49.32%
Draw 40.24%
Chile 10.43%

Team To Score First

Canada 71.26% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Chile 20.69%

Corners

Over 8 58.7%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 30.57%
Over 9 47.72%
Equal 9 10.98%
Under 9 41.3%
Over 10.5 37.35%
Under 10.5 62.65%

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 53.83%
Under 1.5 46.17%
Over 2.5 27.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 72.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 46.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 53.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 15.21%
Under 1.5 84.79%
Over 2.5 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 0.77%
Under 3.5 99.23%

Score analysis

Canada 62.7%
Draw 22.82%
Chile 14.5%
Canada
1-0 @ 13.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.72% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 11.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 62.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.82%
Chile
0-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 14.5%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 30, 2024 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Moise Bombito 7' yellowcard
  • Moise Bombito 7' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Suazo 42' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Suazo 42' yellowcard
  • Alphonso Davies 57' yellowcard
  • Alphonso Davies 57' yellowcard
  • Alistair Johnston 66' yellowcard
  • Alistair Johnston 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Millar 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Millar 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 12'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 12'
  • redcard Gabriel Suazo 27'
  • redcard Gabriel Suazo 27'