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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 23.62% | 22.8% | 53.58% |
| Both teams to score 57.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% | 42.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% | 64.94% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% | 31.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% | 68.12% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% | 15.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.95% | 45.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 6.11% 1-0 @ 5.77% 2-0 @ 3.32% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.66% Total : 23.62% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.77% 0-4 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.58% |