Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 30, 2026 10.30pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 8.00pm
Bragantino 1 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
Chapecoense 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Marcinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw has a probability of 22.89% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 13.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (5.38%).

Result

Gremio 63.15% (+0.06)
Draw 22.89% (+0.09)
Chapecoense 13.97% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.25% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.03% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 27.97% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 46.53% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 53.47% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 24.54% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 75.45% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 14.5% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 85.5% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Gremio 43.03% (+0.56)
Draw 43.58% (-0.61)
Chapecoense 13.38% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Gremio 66.94% (-0.19)
No Goal 7.99% (+0.16)
Chapecoense 25.07% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.19% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.38% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.43% (-0.15)
Over 9 53.08% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 35.81% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 42.14% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 57.86% (-0.15)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 53.62% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 46.38% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 26.07% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 73.93% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 10.35% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.65% (+0.09)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 46.78% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 53.22% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 15% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 85% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 3.48% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 96.52% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.68% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 99.32% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Gremio 63.15%
Draw 22.89%
Chapecoense 13.98%
Gremio
1-0 @ 14.62% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 12.9% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.18% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7.46% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.07)
Other @ 10.27% (-0.09)
Total : 63.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 22.89%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.81% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.6% (-0.03)
Total : 13.98%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Condá
  • Walter Clar 28' yellowcard
  • Marcinho 58' yellowcard
  • Jean Carlos 59' yellowcard
  • David Antunes 84' yellowcard
  • Perotti 84' yellowcard
  • Perotti 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Balieiro 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Ignacio Nardoni 45'+3'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 61'
  • yellowcard Willian 61'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Mec 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2021 10.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Anderson Leite 26' yellowcard
  • Bruno Cortez 76' goal
  • goal Lucas Silva 36'
  • goal Thiago 60'
  • goal Laercio Solda 80' (OG)
  • yellowcard Bruno Cortez 82'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Aug 10, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Alisson 18' goal
  • Miguel Borja 32' goal
  • Darlan Mendes 63' yellowcard
  • goal Anselmo Ramon 4'
  • yellowcard Anselmo Ramon 23'
  • yellowcard Derlan 31'
  • yellowcard Denner Fernando Melz 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 10, 2019 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Everaldo 45' yellowcard
  • Amaral 52' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano 3'
  • yellowcard Henrique Matheus 65'
  • yellowcard Patrick 78'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Aug 6, 2019 12.00am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Pedro Geromel 9' goal
  • Everton 27' goal
  • Alisson 28' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 62' yellowcard
  • Diego Tardelli 80' goal
  • Maicon Souza 82' yellowcard
  • Pedro Geromel 89' yellowcard
  • goal Everaldo Stum 12'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 24'
  • goal Gustavo Campanharo 34'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gomes 45'
  • goal Arthur Gomes 60'
  • yellowcard Regis 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 18, 2018 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andre 7' yellowcard
  • Cicero Santos 24' goal
  • Marcelo Oliveira 41' yellowcard
  • Everton 75' goal
  • yellowcard Hector Canteros 33'
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 69'