Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Condá
  • Bruno Pacheco 26' goal
  • Marcinho 62' yellowcard
  • Yago Felipe 74' yellowcard
  • Camilo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luciano 72'

Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
Chapecoense 3 - 3 Bahia
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Marcinho

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Coritiba
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (10.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Chapecoense 33.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 29.41%
Sao Paulo 37.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 33.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 79.7%
Over 4.5 10.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 89.92% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 26.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 48.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Sao Paulo 24.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 45.53% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Sao Paulo 43.89% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.28%
Equal 8 10.64%
Under 8 24.08%
Over 9 53.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 34.72%
Over 10.5 42.45%
Under 10.5 57.55%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 29.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 70.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.68%
Under 3.5 97.32%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 67.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.14%
Under 3.5 96.86%

Score analysis

Chapecoense 33.35%
Draw 29.43%
Sao Paulo 37.23%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 10.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.54%
0-0 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.43%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 12.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 37.23%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 47' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 60' goal
  • Pablo Maia 81' yellowcard
  • Cauly 82' yellowcard
  • André Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Bosshardt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Italo Vargas 46'
  • yellowcard João Vitor 68'
  • yellowcard Rubens 68'
  • yellowcard Neto Pessoa  68'
  • yellowcard Neto Pessoa  69'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Augusto 82'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Augusto 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Gomes 20' yellowcard
  • Mike 76' goal
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 36'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eder 13' goal
  • Rodrigo Nestor 41' redcard
  • Igor Liziero 66' yellowcard
  • Luciano 89' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anselmo Ramon 65'
  • goal Kaio 70'
  • yellowcard Ravanelli 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Nov 3, 2019 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Marcio Araujo 58' yellowcard
  • Renato 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Alves 7'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 67'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 69'
  • goal Antony 80'
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2019 12.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Igor Vinicius 36' yellowcard
  • Antony 49' goal
  • Jonas Toro 53' goal
  • Raniel 56' goal
  • Vitor 91' goal
  • yellowcard Alan 75'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 83'
  • yellowcard Douglas 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 2, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leandro Pereira 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jean 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 66'
  • yellowcard Everton 88'