Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
Arena Condá

Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
Chapecoense 3 - 3 Bahia
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Marcinho

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Coritiba
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Chapecoense has a probability of 33.35% and a draw has a probability of 29.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Chapecoense win is 1-0 (10.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.54%).

Result

Chapecoense 33.35% (-0.01)
Draw 29.41% (-0.04)
Sao Paulo 37.23% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 33.64% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40.18% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 59.82% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 20.27% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.7%
Over 4.5 10.05% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.95% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 26.49% (-0.04)
Draw 48.51% (+0.12)
Sao Paulo 24.99% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 45.54% (+0.08)
No Goal 10.59% (+0.01)
Sao Paulo 43.87% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 65.28% (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.64% (+0.01)
Under 8 24.08% (+0.06)
Over 9 53.79% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.72% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 42.45% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 57.55% (+0.08)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 29.65% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.35% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.56% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.68%
Under 3.5 97.32%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 67.91% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.09% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.05% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.95% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.35% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 33.35%
Draw 29.42%
Sao Paulo 37.24%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 10.97% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.54%
0-0 @ 10.59% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.42%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 12.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.7% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.61% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.13% (+0.01)
Total : 37.24%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 47' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 60' goal
  • Pablo Maia 81' yellowcard
  • Cauly 82' yellowcard
  • André Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Bosshardt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Italo Vargas 46'
  • yellowcard João Vitor 68'
  • yellowcard Rubens 68'
  • yellowcard Neto Pessoa  68'
  • yellowcard Neto Pessoa  69'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Augusto 82'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Augusto 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Gomes 20' yellowcard
  • Mike 76' goal
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 36'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eder 13' goal
  • Rodrigo Nestor 41' redcard
  • Igor Liziero 66' yellowcard
  • Luciano 89' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anselmo Ramon 65'
  • goal Kaio 70'
  • yellowcard Ravanelli 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Nov 3, 2019 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Marcio Araujo 58' yellowcard
  • Renato 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Alves 7'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 67'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 69'
  • goal Antony 80'
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2019 12.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Igor Vinicius 36' yellowcard
  • Antony 49' goal
  • Jonas Toro 53' goal
  • Raniel 56' goal
  • Vitor 91' goal
  • yellowcard Alan 75'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 83'
  • yellowcard Douglas 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 2, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leandro Pereira 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jean 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 66'
  • yellowcard Everton 88'