Copa Sudamericana
Aug 19, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 18' goal
  • Danielzinho 27' yellowcard
  • Aurélio Buta 58' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri  68' goal
  • Sabino 76' goal
  • Luciano 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erwin Saavedra 15'
  • yellowcard Dairon Asprilla 27'
  • yellowcard Santiago Echeverría 40'
  • goal Dairon Asprilla 61'
  • yellowcard Pato Rodríguez 64'

Sao Paulo vs Bolivar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
Bolivar 1 - 1 Sao Paulo

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
Bolivar 1 - 1 Sao Paulo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 60.23%
Draw 21.2%
Bolivar 18.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.47% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.51% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.49% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 52.04% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.96% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.93% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 18.44% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.56% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 42.85%
Draw 37.86%
Bolivar 19.29%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 62.29%
No Goal 6.5% (-0.01)
Bolivar 31.21% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.62%
Equal 8 10.56%
Under 8 30.82%
Over 9 47.78%
Equal 9 10.84%
Under 9 41.38%
Over 10.5 37.5%
Under 10.5 62.5%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 54.21% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 45.79% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 27.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 72.1% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.2% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.8% (-0.04)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 52.74% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 47.26% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 20.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.4% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.9% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 60.22%
Draw 21.21%
Bolivar 18.57%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.03% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 11.19% (+0.03)
Total : 60.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.21%
Bolivar
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 18.57%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Carlos Melgar 63' goal
  • goal Robert Arboleda 23'
  • yellowcard Iago 50'
  • yellowcard Aurélio Buta 90'+6'