Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Palmeiras
32.6% ( -0.09)	27.7% ( 0.01)	39.7% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.28% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.54% (

-0.06)

57.46% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74% (

-0.05)

78.26% (

0.05)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3% (

-0.1)

32.7% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.74% (

-0.11)

69.25% (

0.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

0.02)

28.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02% (

0.02)

63.97% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 32.59%

Palmeiras 39.69%

Draw 27.69%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.59%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.69%