Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Botafogo win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.