Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 4, 2026 10.30pm
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 12.30am
Gremio 2 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 11.00pm
Vasco 1 - 4 Flamengo
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 26.78% and a draw has a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 46.97% ▲ (+0.41)
Draw 26.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Vasco da Gama 26.78% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62% ▼ (-0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.08% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 49.92% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 27.65% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 3.5 72.35% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 15.09% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 84.91% ▲ (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 33.46% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 44.23% ▼ (-0.53)
Vasco da Gama 22.31% ▲ (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 53.56% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 7.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Vasco da Gama 39.18% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 62.63% ▼ (-2.76)
Equal 8 10.7% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 8 26.67% ▲ (+2.94)
Over 9 51.3% ▼ (-2.30)
Equal 9 11.33% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 9 37.37% ▲ (+2.77)
Over 10.5 40.29% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 10.5 59.71% ▲ (+1.61)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 44.73% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 55.27% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 19.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.25% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 6.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 63% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 37% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 28.48% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 71.52% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 2.5 9.79% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 90.21% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 2.58% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.42% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 46.96%
Draw 26.25%
Vasco da Gama 26.78%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.78% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 46.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.25%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 11, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Thiago Mendes  37' goal
  • Roy Gerritsen 69' yellowcard
  • Tchê Tchê 69' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 76' yellowcard
  • Brenner 77' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Freitas 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Freitas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ramon Rique Santos de Souza Barros 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Léo Derik 11'
  • yellowcard Felipinho 63'
  • yellowcard Felipinho 64'
  • yellowcard Chiqueti 72'
  • yellowcard Bruno Zapelli 73'
  • yellowcard Isaac  73'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 12, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Tomas Cuello 25' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 25' goal
  • Kaique Rocha 26' yellowcard
  • Kaique Rocha 26' yellowcard
  • Madson 28' yellowcard
  • Madson 28' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 33' goal
  • Bruno Zapelli 33' goal
  • Bruno Zapelli 48' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 48' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Mastriani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Mastriani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 30'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 30'
  • redcard Rayan 42'
  • redcard Rayan 42'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 45'+1'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Souza 69'
  • yellowcard Souza 69'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 30, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 35' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 35' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Hugo Moura 90'+3' goal
  • Hugo Moura 90'+3' goal
  • Joao Victor 90'+7' redcard
  • Joao Victor 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 25'
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 25'
  • goal Christian 32'
  • goal Christian 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 36'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 36'
  • yellowcard Christian 39'
  • yellowcard Christian 39'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 51'
  • redcard Lucas Di Yorio 90'+7'
  • redcard Lucas Di Yorio 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 27, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Matheus Carvalho 48' yellowcard
  • Matheus Carvalho 48' yellowcard
  • Emerson Rodriguez 68' goal
  • Emerson Rodriguez 68' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 86' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 86' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 15'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 15'
  • goal Gabriel 24'
  • goal Gabriel 24'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Machado Cruz 28'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Machado Cruz 28'
  • yellowcard Martin Varini Di Zioli 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Martin Varini Di Zioli 90'+5'
  • redcard Fernando 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Erick 26' goal
  • Fernandinho 58' yellowcard
  • redcard Hugo Moura 16'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 25, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Tomas Cuello 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maicon 54'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 62'
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 75'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+1'