Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 10.30pm
Vasco 3 - 2 Corinthians
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2026 11.00pm
Flamengo 3 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 33.89% and a draw has a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 33.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 27.66% ▼ (-0.24)
Flamengo 38.45% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87% ▲ (+1.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.64% ▲ (+1.30)
Under 1.5 26.36% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 2.5 48.83% ▲ (+1.98)
Under 2.5 51.17% ▼ (-1.98)
Over 3.5 25.92% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 74.08% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 4.5 13.8% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 4.5 86.2% ▼ (-0.54)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 29.62% ▲ (+1.86)
Draw 43.7% ▲ (+1.11)
Flamengo 26.68% ▼ (-2.97)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 44.51% ▲ (+0.99)
No Goal 7.81% ▼ (-0.38)
Flamengo 47.68% ▼ (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 55.24% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 8 33.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 44.08% ▼ (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.17% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 44.76% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 10.5 33.78% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 10.5 66.22% ▲ (+0.54)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 34.19% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 65.81% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 2.5 12.45% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 87.55% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 3.58% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.42% ▼ (-0.13)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 71.7% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 0.5 28.3% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 1.5 38.12% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 1.5 61.88% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 2.5 15.26% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 2.5 84.74% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 3.5 4.82% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 95.18% ▼ (-0.31)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 33.9%
Draw 27.65%
Flamengo 38.45%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.27)
2-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.38)
2-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 33.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 27.65%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.64)
1-2 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.41)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 38.45%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 8' goal
  • Jorginho 60' yellowcard
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 69' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique  69' yellowcard
  • Saúl Ñíguez  82' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrés Gómez 65'
  • yellowcard Claudio Spinelli 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Adson 65'
  • yellowcard Nuno Moreira 76'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 81'
  • goal Robert Renan 84'
  • goal Hugo Moura 90'+7'
Brasileiro
Sep 21, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Apr 19, 2025 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Paulo Henrique 44' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Ortiz 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Gerson 72' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 45'
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 3
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
  • Pablo Vegetti 9' goal
  • Joao Victor 45'+4' redcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 59' yellowcard
  • Ze Gabriel 71' yellowcard
  • goal Everton 28'
  • goal Pedro 33'
  • goal David Luiz 43'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 51'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 73'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Fabricio Bruno 23' yellowcard
  • Gerson 76' goal
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 33'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+5'