Oct 18, 2026 1.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estádio Nicolau Alayon

Artur 42'
Artur 68'
Iago 90'+2'

Facundo Colidio 44'
Gabriel Pereira 54'

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

W
L
L
W
D
L

Brasileiro

W
L
L
W
L
W

Last game

Oct 11, 2026 1.00am

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Luciano

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

W
D
W
W
D
W

Brasileiro

D
W
W
W
L
W

Last game

Oct 10, 2026 10.00pm

Vasco 0 - 0 Remo

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Andrés Gómez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 46.45% ▲ (+0.34)

Draw 26.1% ▼ (-0.40)

Vasco da Gama 27.45% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

56.09% ▲ (+0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 1.5 24.16% ▼ (-0.20)

Over 2.5 52.17% ▲ (+0.27)

Under 2.5 47.83% ▼ (-0.27)

Over 3.5 29.74% ▲ (+0.71)

Under 3.5 70.26% ▼ (-0.68)

Over 4.5 16.77% ▲ (+0.47)

Under 4.5 83.23% ▼ (-0.46)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 33.78% ▲ (+0.11)

Draw 45.57% ▼ (-0.64)

Vasco da Gama 20.66% ▲ (+0.56)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 55.5% ▲ (+0.58)

No Goal 6.68% ▼ (-0.24)

Vasco da Gama 37.82% ▼ (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 62.43% ▼ (-1.30)

Equal 8 10.88% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 8 26.69% ▲ (+1.40)

Over 9 50.92% ▼ (-1.08)

Equal 9 11.5% ▼ (-0.25)

Under 9 37.57% ▲ (+1.30)

Over 10.5 39.77% ▼ (-0.75)

Under 10.5 60.23% ▲ (+0.75)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 45.36% ▲ (+0.34)

Under 1.5 54.64% ▼ (-0.34)

Over 2.5 20.16% ▲ (+0.47)

Under 2.5 79.84% ▼ (-0.46)

Over 3.5 7.28% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 3.5 92.72% ▼ (-0.16)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 64.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 35.74% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 1.5 30.69% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 1.5 69.31% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 2.5 11.16% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 2.5 88.84% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 3.5 3.23% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 3.5 96.77% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 46.44%

Draw 26.11%

Vasco da Gama 27.45%

Sao Paulo

1-0 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.24)

2-0 @ 7.55%

3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.17)

3-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.17)

Other @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.19)

Total : 46.44%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.10)

0-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.24)

2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.02)

3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 0.27% ▼ (-0.04)

Total : 26.11%

Vasco da Gama

1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.16)

0-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.07)

2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.10)

0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.11)

Total : 27.45%

Head to Head

Apr 18, 2026 10.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

José Luis Rodríguez 46'
Adson 46'
Claudio Spinelli 62'
Brenner 62'
José Luis Rodríguez 72'
Hugo Moura 81'
Andrés Gómez 88'

Luciano 10'
Tetê 58'
Wendell 63'
Maik 63'
Felipe Negrucci 80'
Gonzalo Tapia 80'

Nov 2, 2025 11.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 13, 2025 1.30am

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Luciano 33'
Robert Arboleda 38'
Andre Silva 45'
Juan Dinenno 87'
Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva 90'+3'

Rayan 26'
Nuno Moreira 40'
Joao Victor 60'
Pablo Vegetti 69'
Hugo Moura 71'

Oct 17, 2024 1.45am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa

Luciano 9'
Luciano 9'
Lucas Moura 46'
Lucas Moura 46'
Welington 65'
Welington 65'
Lucas Moura 67'
Lucas Moura 67'

Jun 23, 2024 1.30am

4

1

HT : 4 2

FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira

Alan Franco 33'
Alan Franco 33'
Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 39'
Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 39'
Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 45'+3'
Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 45'+3'
Maicon 77'
Maicon 77'
Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 80'
Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 80'
Rossi 88'
Rossi 88'
David 90'+3'
David 90'+3'

Andre Silva 11'
Andre Silva 11'
Patryck Lanza 36'
Patryck Lanza 36'

Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Paulinho 37'
Ramon Diaz 38'
Leo Pele 45'
Maicon 73'
Figueiredo 90'+5'

Nathan Mendes 45'+2'

Form Data

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria

Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Internacional

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Boca Juniors

Palmeiras 2 - 0 Sao Paulo

Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco

Vasco 0 - 0 Remo

Botafogo 1 - 2 Vasco

Vasco 5 - 0 Coritiba

Vasco 0 - 0 Santa Fe

Gremio 1 - 2 Vasco