Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sao Paulo
Sep 5, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.00am
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Luciano

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw has a probability of 27.11% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.44%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (7.03%).

Result

Sao Paulo 51.62% ▼ (-1.04)
Draw 27.11% ▲ (+0.67)
Atletico Mineiro 21.24% ▲ (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.7% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 46.26% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 53.74% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 23.72% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 76.28% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 4.5 12.9% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 4.5 87.1% ▲ (+0.37)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 38.66% ▲ (+2.10)
Draw 45.26% ▼ (-1.54)
Atletico Mineiro 16.09% ▼ (-0.58)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 62.34% ▲ (+2.08)
No Goal 8.58% ▲ (+0.34)
Atletico Mineiro 29.08% ▼ (-2.41)

Corners

Over 8 57.87% ▼ (-3.17)
Equal 8 10.3% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 8 31.83% ▲ (+4.08)
Over 9 47.36% ▼ (-1.94)
Equal 9 10.52% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 9 42.13% ▲ (+3.17)
Over 10.5 37.4% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 10.5 62.6% ▲ (+0.67)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 45.95% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 54.05% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 20% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 80% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 7.11% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 92.89% ▲ (+0.24)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 57.18% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 0.5 42.82% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 1.5 22.26% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 77.74% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 2.5 6.42% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 93.58% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 1.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.56% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 51.62%
Draw 27.11%
Atletico Mineiro 21.23%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.66% ▼ (-0.31)
2-1 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.37)
3-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.33)
Total : 51.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 27.11%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 21.23%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Atletico Mineiro
Mar 18, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Sao Paulo
  • Bernard 63' yellowcard
  • Iván Román 64' goal
  • Bernard 64' yellowcard
  • Dudu 74' yellowcard
  • Dudu 75' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 86' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luciano 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 60'
  • yellowcard Luciano 61'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 61'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 72'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 74'
  • yellowcard Cédric Soares 83'
  • yellowcard Ferreirinha 83'
Brasileiro
Sao Paulo
Aug 25, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Atletico Mineiro
Apr 6, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Arena MRV
Sao Paulo
  • Lyanco 34' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 90'+9' redcard
  • goal Alan Franco 17'
  • yellowcard Ferreira 34'
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 49'
  • redcard Jonathan Calleri 84'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
Nov 24, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 4
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Atletico Mineiro
  • Luis Zubeldia 0' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 0' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 24' goal
  • Fausto Vera 24' goal
  • Andre Silva 45'+2' goal
  • Andre Silva 45'+2' goal
  • Luciano 53' yellowcard
  • Luciano 53' yellowcard
  • Renzo Saravia 54' yellowcard
  • Renzo Saravia 54' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 63' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 63' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 1'
  • goal Paulinho 1'
  • goal Paulinho 18'
  • goal Paulinho 18'
  • redcard Mariano 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Mariano 45'+6'
  • redcard Mariano 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Mariano 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Ruan 57'
  • yellowcard Ruan 57'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Milito 75'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Milito 75'
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 89'
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 89'
Copa do Brasil
Atletico Mineiro
Sep 13, 2024 1.45am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Sao Paulo
  • Junior Alonso 20' yellowcard
  • Junior Alonso 20' yellowcard
  • Renzo Saravia 64' yellowcard
  • Renzo Saravia 64' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 77' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 77' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 84' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 84' yellowcard
  • Rubens 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rubens 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luiz Gustavo 43'
  • yellowcard Luiz Gustavo 43'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 54'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 54'
  • yellowcard Luciano 60'
  • yellowcard Luciano 60'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 77'
Copa do Brasil
Sao Paulo
Aug 29, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Atletico Mineiro
  • Rafinha 61' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 61' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 46'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 46'
  • yellowcard Otavio 63'
  • yellowcard Otavio 63'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 77'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 77'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 81'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 81'
  • goal Rodrigo Battaglia 90'+2'
  • goal Rodrigo Battaglia 90'+2'

Form Data

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Bragantino
Chapecoense 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Bolivar
Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Coritiba
Bolivar 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Gremio 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Vitoria
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Internacional 0 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 2 Bragantino
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 0 Gremio