Copa do Brasil
Sep 2, 2026 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Natanael 58' yellowcard
  • Victor Hugo 77' goal
  • Fred 88' goal
  • yellowcard Otávio Costa 25'
  • goal Kaio Jorge  30'
  • yellowcard Kaio Jorge  35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 42'
  • redcard Lucas Villalba 61'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 71'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Bruno 90'+7'

Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 26, 2026 1.00am
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 26, 2026 1.00am
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 45.94% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 25.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Cruzeiro 28.22% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.02% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.53% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 25.47% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 50.53% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 49.47% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 27.61% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 72.39% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 15.5% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 84.5% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 35.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Cruzeiro 21.03% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 55.75% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 7.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Cruzeiro 37.17% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 60.63% ▲ (+0.53)
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 28.56% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 9 49.36% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 39.37% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 10.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 10.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.40)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 43.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.94% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.66% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 93.34% ▼ (-0.07)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 63.94% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 36.06% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 29.65% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 70.35% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 10.85% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 89.15% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 3.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.92% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 45.93%
Draw 25.84%
Cruzeiro 28.21%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 45.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 25.84%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 28.21%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Aug 26, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 55' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 60' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 46'
  • yellowcard Tomás Cuello 54'
  • goal Renan Lodi 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 3, 2026 1.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Néiser Villarreal 40' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 62' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 62' yellowcard
  • João Marcelo 78' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 78' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge  86' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Minda 12'
  • yellowcard Maycon  32'
  • yellowcard Reinier 65'
  • yellowcard Reinier 66'
  • goal Mateo Cassierra 72'
  • yellowcard Kauã Pascini 77'
  • yellowcard Cauã Soares 88'
  • yellowcard Tomás Pérez 88'
Brasileiro
Oct 16, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Sep 11, 2025 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 27, 2025 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 19, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 32' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rony 14'
  • yellowcard Rony 14'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 40'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 40'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 46'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 46'
  • yellowcard Fausto Vera 85'
  • yellowcard Fausto Vera 85'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 88'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 88'