Sep 12, 2026 10.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Allianz Parque

Murilo 45'+1'
Gustavo Gómez 45'+4'
Vitor Roque 50'
Agustín Giay 45'+5'
Murilo 76'
Larson 85'

Pablo Maia 12'
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira 39'

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

W
D
D
D
W
W

Brasileiro

D
D
W
L
D
W

Last game

Sep 6, 2026 10.30pm

Botafogo 0 - 0 Palmeiras

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Jose Manuel Lopez

Sao Paulo

All competitions

L
W
W
L
W
D

Brasileiro

W
W
L
D
L
D

Last game

Sep 5, 2026 10.30pm

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.94% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 64.02% ▲ (+1.77)

Draw 22.94% ▼ (-0.42)

Sao Paulo 13.1% ▼ (-1.30)

Both Teams to Score:

40.79% ▼ (-2.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.09% ▼ (-0.74)

Under 1.5 29.91% ▲ (+0.74)

Over 2.5 44.73% ▼ (-1.03)

Under 2.5 55.27% ▲ (+1.07)

Over 3.5 23.24% ▼ (-0.47)

Under 3.5 76.76% ▲ (+0.47)

Over 4.5 14.08% ▼ (-0.25)

Under 4.5 85.92% ▲ (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 45.26% ▲ (+0.47)

Draw 42.01% ▲ (+1.18)

Sao Paulo 12.73% ▼ (-1.64)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 67.35% ▲ (+0.68)

No Goal 8.64% ▲ (+0.25)

Sao Paulo 24.01% ▼ (-0.92)

Corners

Over 8 62.58% ▼ (-0.63)

Equal 8 10.35% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 8 27.07% ▲ (+0.52)

Over 9 51.66% ▼ (-0.66)

Equal 9 10.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 9 37.42% ▲ (+0.63)

Over 10.5 41.02% ▼ (-0.63)

Under 10.5 58.98% ▲ (+0.63)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 52.8% ▲ (+0.58)

Under 1.5 47.2% ▼ (-0.58)

Over 2.5 25.58% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 2.5 74.42% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 3.5 10.07% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 3.5 89.93% ▼ (-0.20)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 44.77% ▼ (-1.99)

Under 0.5 55.23% ▲ (+1.99)

Over 1.5 13.58% ▼ (-1.66)

Under 1.5 86.42% ▲ (+1.66)

Over 2.5 3.33% ▼ (-0.65)

Under 2.5 96.67% ▲ (+0.66)

Over 3.5 0.72% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 3.5 99.28% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 64.03%

Draw 22.95%

Sao Paulo 13.11%

Palmeiras

1-0 @ 15.87% ▲ (+0.73)

2-0 @ 13.22% ▲ (+0.73)

2-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.11)

3-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.17)

3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.17)

3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.13)

Other @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.24)

Total : 64.03%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.45% ▼ (-0.28)

0-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.25)

2-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.27)

Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 22.95%

Sao Paulo

0-1 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.13)

1-2 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.44)

0-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.19)

Other @ 0.57% ▼ (-0.13)

Total : 13.11%

Head to Head

Mar 22, 2026 12.00am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Wendell 46'
Robert Arboleda 46'
Gonzalo Tapia 46'
André Silva 79'
Ferreirinha 84'

Jhon Arias 6'
Felipe Anderson 60'
Lucas Evangelista 60'
Emiliano Martínez 63'
Vitor Roque 77'
Ramón Sosa 77'

Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm

2

3

HT : 0 0

FT

May 11, 2025 9.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Centro de Treinamento Vila Porto

Abel Ferreira 62'
Joaquin Piquerez 85'
Vitor Roque 90'+5'

Ruan 31'
Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+4'

Aug 18, 2024 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Allianz Parque

Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 45'+1'
Jose Manuel Lopez 55'
Gustavo Gomez 60'
Marcos Rocha 90'+2'
Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+12'
Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+14'
Ze Rafael 90'+15'

Sabino 43'
Luciano 72'
Luciano 74'
Luciano 90'+6'
Rodrigo Nestor 90'+15'

Apr 30, 2024 12.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Diego 29'
Diego 29'
Igor Vinicius 43'
Igor Vinicius 43'
Jonathan Calleri 59'
Jonathan Calleri 59'
Michel Araujo 69'
Michel Araujo 69'

Abel Ferreira 30'
Abel Ferreira 30'
Gustavo Gomez 40'
Gustavo Gomez 40'
Endrick 45'
Endrick 45'
Murilo Cerqueira 59'
Murilo Cerqueira 59'

Oct 26, 2023 12.00am

5

0

HT : 8 0

FT Allianz Parque

Richard Rios 5'
Richard Rios 5'
Breno Lopes 16'
Breno Lopes 16'
Ze Rafael 21'
Ze Rafael 21'
Breno Lopes 26'
Breno Lopes 26'
Endrick 44'
Endrick 44'
Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7'
Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7'
Raphael Veiga 45'+10'
Raphael Veiga 45'+10'
Marcos Rocha 84'
Marcos Rocha 84'
Joaquin Piquerez 87'
Joaquin Piquerez 87'

Lucas Beraldo 25'
Lucas Beraldo 25'
Rafinha 45'+2'
Rafinha 45'+2'
Rafinha 61'
Rafinha 61'
Wellington Rato 79'
Wellington Rato 79'

Form Data

Palmeiras 1 - 0 LDU Quito

Botafogo 0 - 0 Palmeiras

Santos 0 - 0 Palmeiras

Mirassol 1 - 1 Palmeiras

Palmeiras 3 - 0 Santos

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Vasco

Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Bragantino

Chapecoense 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Bolivar

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Coritiba