Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 12, 2026 10.30pm
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 10.30pm
Botafogo 0 - 0 Palmeiras
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 10.30pm
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw has a probability of 23.36% and a win for Sao Paulo has a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.72%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it is 0-1 (5.62%).

Result

Palmeiras 62.25% (+0.29)
Draw 23.36% (-0.02)
Sao Paulo 14.39% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.05% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.83% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 29.17% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 45.75% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 54.21% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 23.7% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 76.3% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 14.32% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.68% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 44.8% (-0.04)
Draw 40.83% (+0.01)
Sao Paulo 14.37% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 66.67% (-0.13)
No Goal 8.4% (+0.17)
Sao Paulo 24.93% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 63.2% (+0.17)
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 26.56% (-0.16)
Over 9 52.31% (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.88% (+0.02)
Under 9 36.8% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 41.65% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 58.35% (-0.12)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 52.22% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 47.78% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 25.25%
Under 2.5 74.75%
Over 3.5 9.87% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.13% (-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 46.76% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 53.24% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 15.23% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 84.77% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 3.98% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 96.02% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 0.88% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 99.12% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 62.24%
Draw 23.36%
Sao Paulo 14.39%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 15.14% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 12.5% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 10.18% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 7.5% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.69% (+0.02)
Total : 62.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.4% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 23.36%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.7% (-0.03)
Total : 14.39%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 22, 2026 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wendell 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 46' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 46' yellowcard
  • André Silva 79' yellowcard
  • Ferreirinha 84' yellowcard
  • goal Jhon Arias 6'
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 60'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martínez 63'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 77'
  • yellowcard Ramón Sosa 77'
Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Vila Porto
  • Abel Ferreira 62' redcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 85' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ruan 31'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 55' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+12' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 90'+15' redcard
  • yellowcard Sabino 43'
  • goal Luciano 72'
  • yellowcard Luciano 74'
  • redcard Luciano 90'+6'
  • redcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+15'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 30, 2024 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 12.00am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'