Copa Libertadores
Sep 9, 2026 11.00pm
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs LDU Quito - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

LDU Quito

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw has a probability of 25.05% and a win for LDU Quito has a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a LDU Quito win it is 0-1 (6.39%).

Result

Palmeiras 58.11% (-0.50)
Draw 25.05% (+0.18)
LDU Quito 16.77% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.06% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.04% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 29.96% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 43.98% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 56.02% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 21.87% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 78.13% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 12.83% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 87.17% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 39.34%
Draw 44.02%
LDU Quito 16.64%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 60.99% (-0.06)
No Goal 8.88% (+0.10)
LDU Quito 30.13% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.27%
Equal 8 10.25%
Under 8 28.48%
Over 9 50.54%
Equal 9 10.73%
Under 9 38.73%
Over 10.5 40.15%
Under 10.5 59.85%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 48.82% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 51.18% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 22.77% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 77.23% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 8.65% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 91.35% (+0.23)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 48.86% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 51.14% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 16.69% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 83.31% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 4.59% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.41% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 58.13%
Draw 25.03%
LDU Quito 16.78%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.63%
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.43% (-0.23)
Total : 58.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.88% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 25.03%
LDU Quito
0-1 @ 6.39% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 4.46% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.25% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.75% (+0.03)
Total : 16.78%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Oct 31, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa Libertadores
Oct 24, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT