Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.72% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Always Ready win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.