Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 10.30pm
Flamengo 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Luciano

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 10.30pm
Santos 2 - 2 Chapecoense
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.65% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 50.48% (+0.41)
Draw 26.65% (-0.20)
Santos 22.87% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.48% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 29.52% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 44.54% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 55.46% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 23.58% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 76.42% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 12.72% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 87.28% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 37.55% (-0.11)
Draw 40.98% (+0.14)
Santos 21.47% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 55.76% (+0.22)
No Goal 8.65% (-0.17)
Santos 35.59% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.63%
Equal 8 10.1% (-0.01)
Under 8 22.26%
Over 9 56.49% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.15% (-0.01)
Under 9 32.37%
Over 10.5 45.22% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 54.78% (-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 44.16% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 55.84% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 18.54% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 81.46% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 6.36% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 93.64% (-0.21)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 57.16% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 42.84% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 23.08% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 76.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.14% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.77% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.23% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 50.47%
Draw 26.65%
Santos 22.87%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.88% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.48% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.25% (+0.20)
Total : 50.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.03)
Total : 26.65%
Santos
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 22.87%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 4, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Joao Basso 46' yellowcard
  • Basso 46' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 45'+5' goal
  • Zé Rafael 45'+5' goal
  • Miguel Terceros 70' yellowcard
  • Miguelito 70' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Rollheiser 80' yellowcard
  • Benjamín Rollheiser 80' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Diaz 88' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo 88' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Díaz 88' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Bontempo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 61'
  • yellowcard Luciano 61'
  • yellowcard Marcos Antonio 62'
  • yellowcard Marcos Antônio 62'
  • yellowcard Luciano 63'
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 66'
  • yellowcard Luan 84'
  • yellowcard Luan Santos 84'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 90'
Brasileiro
Sep 22, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Ferreira 10' goal
  • Andre Silva 23' goal
  • Sabino 41' yellowcard
  • Marcos Antonio 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 57' yellowcard
  • Alisson 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Alves Nascimento 75' yellowcard
  • Rodriguinho 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Enzo Diaz 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Rollheiser 31'
  • goal Tiquinho 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tiquinho 48'
  • yellowcard Gil 90'+8'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 12, 2023 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 45'+2'
  • goal Juan 53'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 61'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Jonathan Calleri 22' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 45'+1' goal
  • David 79' goal
  • Alexandre Pato 88' goal
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 21, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Braga 33' goal
  • Eduardo 43' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Felipe Jonatan 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikao 44'