Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 13, 2026 1.00am
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 8.00pm
Internacional 2 - 3 Santos
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 8.00pm
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 28.43% and a draw has a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 0-1 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).

Result

Santos 44.31% (+0.58)
Draw 27.32% (-0.59)
Cruzeiro 28.43% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.05% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.93% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 32.07% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 42.1% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 57.9% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 21% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 79% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 11.05% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 88.95% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Santos 39.89% (+0.50)
Draw 43.14% (+0.39)
Cruzeiro 16.97% (-0.86)

Team To Score First

Santos 61.46% (-0.33)
No Goal 9.89% (-0.46)
Cruzeiro 28.65% (+0.79)

Corners

Over 8 57.82% (-1.83)
Equal 8 11.26% (+0.13)
Under 8 30.92% (+1.71)
Over 9 46.34% (-1.81)
Equal 9 11.47% (-0.03)
Under 9 42.18% (+1.83)
Over 10.5 35.6% (-1.63)
Under 10.5 64.4% (+1.64)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 37.91% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 62.09% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 15.04% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 84.96% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 4.87% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 95.13% (+0.15)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 60.9% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.1% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.4% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.02% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 91.98% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.93% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.07% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Santos 44.31%
Draw 27.34%
Cruzeiro 28.43%
Santos
1-0 @ 12.57% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.17% (+0.41)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.69% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.86% (-0.13)
Total : 44.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 27.34%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.89% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.19% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.92% (+0.07)
Total : 28.43%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Bruno Rodrigues 70' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 70' yellowcard
  • Kaique Kenji 86' yellowcard
  • Kaique Kenji 87' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thaciano 46'
  • yellowcard Tomás Rincón 81'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 85'
  • yellowcard João Schmidt 85'
Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Thaciano 26' goal
  • Thaciano 28' goal
  • Thaciano 28' yellowcard
  • Guilherme 34' yellowcard
  • Guilherme 35' yellowcard
  • Joao Schmidt 60' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 55'
  • yellowcard 55'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 56'
  • yellowcard 56'
  • yellowcard 56'
Brasileiro
Aug 10, 2025 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Sep 14, 2023 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Junior Caicara 36' yellowcard
  • Joao Basso 50' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon 17'
  • goal Matheus Jussa 41'
  • yellowcard Luciano Castan 45'+5'
  • goal Bruno Rodrigues 70'
  • goal Nikao 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
May 6, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Wesley 21' goal
  • Wesley 62' goal
  • goal Angelo Gabriel 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 24, 2019 12.00am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira (Santos, São Paulo)
  • Eduardo Sasha 23' goal
  • Gustavo Henrique 49' yellowcard
  • Marinho 60' goal
  • Yeferson Soteldo 65' goal
  • Marinho 79' yellowcard
  • Diego Pituca 90' goal
  • goal Luis Manuel Orejuela 14'
  • yellowcard Egidio 63'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bruno 66'