Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Aug 30, 2026 8.00pm
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 11.30pm
Coritiba 2 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Rodrigo Garro

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
Santos 1 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Santos has a probability of 27.78% and a draw has a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Santos win is 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).

Result

Corinthians 45.35% (+4.17)
Draw 26.93% (-0.68)
Santos 27.78% (-3.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.75% (-1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.01% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.99% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 45.14% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.86% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.5% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.5% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.28% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.72% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 34.67% (+3.82)
Draw 45.47% (-1.92)
Santos 19.85% (-1.93)

Team To Score First

Corinthians 57.82% (+3.72)
No Goal 8.34% (-0.11)
Santos 33.84% (-3.61)

Corners

Over 8 61.04% (+2.64)
Equal 8 11.52% (-0.05)
Under 8 27.45% (-2.59)
Over 9 48.96% (+2.40)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.24)
Under 9 38.96% (-2.64)
Over 10.5 37.42% (+1.96)
Under 10.5 62.58% (-1.96)

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 40.53% (+3.13)
Under 1.5 59.47% (-3.13)
Over 2.5 16.25% (+2.09)
Under 2.5 83.75% (-2.10)
Over 3.5 5.3% (+0.86)
Under 3.5 94.7% (-0.86)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 62.1% (-3.07)
Under 0.5 37.9% (+3.07)
Over 1.5 27.11% (-2.97)
Under 1.5 72.89% (+2.97)
Over 2.5 8.74% (-1.52)
Under 2.5 91.26% (+1.53)
Over 3.5 2.28% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 97.72% (+0.50)

Score analysis

Corinthians 45.35%
Draw 26.94%
Santos 27.78%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.13% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 8.4% (+1.11)
3-1 @ 4.03% (+0.47)
3-0 @ 3.85% (+0.69)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.25% (+0.84)
Total : 45.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.40)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.03)
Total : 26.94%
Santos
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.50)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.73)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.67)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.42)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.35)
Other @ 2.23% (-0.52)
Total : 27.78%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Gabriel Barbosa 21' goal
  • Willian Arão 65' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lira 71' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 72' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 78' yellowcard
  • Benjamín Rollheiser 78' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lira↓ 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Memphis Depay 18'
  • yellowcard Kayke 62'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 63'
  • yellowcard Allan 79'
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 90'
Brasileiro
Oct 16, 2025 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Yuri Alberto 66' goal
  • Igor Coronado 72' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 9'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Escobar 28'
  • yellowcard Ze Ivaldo 63'
  • redcard Gonzalo Escobar 80'
  • yellowcard Joao Paulo 89'
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 29, 2023 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Fausto Vera 35' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 57' goal
  • Gabriel Moscardo 63' yellowcard
  • Giuliano 67' yellowcard
  • Fabio Santos 72' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 82' yellowcard
  • Matias Rojas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal 18'
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 28'
  • goal Stiven Mendoza 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Marcos Leonardo 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • goal Yuri Alberto 19'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 19'
  • goal Joao Lucas 28' (OG)
  • goal Ruan 28'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Oct 22, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Roger Guedes 89'