Copa Sudamericana
Oct 14, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw has a probability of 26.34% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (7.28%).

Result

Boca Juniors 52.78% ▲ (+0.83)
Draw 26.34% ▼ (-0.11)
Vasco da Gama 20.84% ▼ (-0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.17% ▼ (-1.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.18% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 1.5 30.82% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 2.5 43.71% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 56.29% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 3.5 21.81% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 3.5 78.19% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 4.5 12.1% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 87.9% ▲ (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 36.04% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 45.29% ▼ (-0.26)
Vasco da Gama 18.67% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 55.69% ▼ (-0.16)
No Goal 9.25% ▲ (+0.26)
Vasco da Gama 35.06% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 45.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 42.73% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 35.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 54.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 25.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 74.11% ▼ (-0.07)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 44.62% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 55.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 19.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.34% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.07%
Under 3.5 92.93%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 53.93% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 0.5 46.07% ▲ (+1.26)
Over 1.5 20.48% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 1.5 79.52% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 2.5 5.99% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 94.01% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 1.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 98.59% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 52.78%
Draw 26.35%
Vasco da Gama 20.86%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.28% ▲ (+0.44)
2-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 52.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.35%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 20.86%