Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Instituto vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 2, 2026 11.15pm
Independiente 1 - 4 Instituto
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Giuliano Cerato

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 1.30am
Boca Juniors 3 - 0 Union
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Instituto win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Boca Juniors has a probability of 34.21% and a draw has a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win is 0-1 (10.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.74%).

Result

Instituto 36.19% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 29.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Boca Juniors 34.21% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 43.96% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 56.04% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 23.07% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 76.97% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 12.03% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.97% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Instituto 23.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 52.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Boca Juniors 23.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Instituto 45.74% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 9.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Boca Juniors 44.55% ▲ (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 45.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 42.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 34.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 54.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 24.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 75.37% ▼ (-0.04)

Instituto Goals

Over 1.5 33.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 12.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.02%
Under 3.5 95.98%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 67.26% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 32.74% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 32.11% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 67.89% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 11.66% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 88.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 3.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.62% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Instituto 36.2%
Draw 29.59%
Boca Juniors 34.2%
Instituto
1-0 @ 10.53% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 36.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.59%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 34.2%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 22, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Tomás Aranda 51' goal
  • Adam Bareiro 56' goal
  • Alan Velasco  71' yellowcard
  • Leandro Brey 82' yellowcard
  • Iker Zufiaurre 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Camilo Rey Domenech 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matías Tissera 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Guerra 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Guerra 69'
  • yellowcard Matías Tissera 69'
  • yellowcard Jeremías Lázaro 73'
  • yellowcard Matías Gallardo 86'
  • yellowcard Luca Rafaelli 86'
  • yellowcard Luca Rafaelli 87'
  • yellowcard Matías Gallardo 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Jul 29, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • <TBD> 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 16'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 16'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Di Lollo 35'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Di Lollo 35'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 19, 2023 10.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Martin Payero 45'+2' goal
  • Miguel Merentiel 85' goal
  • goal Joaquin Varela 12'
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 19'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 46'