Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2026 11.15pm
Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 8.45pm
Union 1 - 2 Independiente
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.15am
Instituto 3 - 1 Talleres
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Giuliano Cerato

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente win with a probability of 43.96%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Instituto has a probability of 27.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Instituto win it is 0-1 (9.34%).

Result

Independiente 43.96%
Draw 28.2%
Instituto 27.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.53%
Under 1.5 32.47%
Over 2.5 41.84%
Under 2.5 58.16%
Over 3.5 21.12%
Under 3.5 78.88%
Over 4.5 10.97%
Under 4.5 89.03%

First Half Winner

Independiente 29.62%
Draw 49.85%
Instituto 20.53%

Team To Score First

Independiente 52.46%
No Goal 10.4%
Instituto 37.14%

Corners

Over 8 56.21%
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 32.12%
Over 9 44.46%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 43.79%
Over 10.5 33.61%
Under 10.5 66.39%

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 37.58%
Under 1.5 62.42%
Over 2.5 14.69%
Under 2.5 85.31%
Over 3.5 4.59%
Under 3.5 95.41%

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 60.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 39.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.51%
Under 1.5 74.49%
Over 2.5 8.07%
Under 2.5 91.93%
Over 3.5 2.04%
Under 3.5 97.96%

Score analysis

Independiente 43.98%
Draw 28.21%
Instituto 27.84%
Independiente
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 43.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.21%
Instituto
0-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.84%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 17, 2026 1.15am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Perón
  • Alex Luna 14' goal
  • Giuliano Cerato 34' goal
  • Matías Fonseca 58' yellowcard
  • Luca Rafaelli 66' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Méndez 80' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Guerra 80' yellowcard
  • Jonatan Galván 81' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Abaldo 13'
  • yellowcard Milton Valenzuela 21'
  • yellowcard Luciano Cabral 58'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 75'
  • yellowcard Facundo Samuel Valdez 75'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 76'
  • yellowcard Facundo Samuel Valdez 76'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Gutiérrez 76'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 30, 2025 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Feb 22, 2025 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Luciano Cabral 10' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 16' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 53' goal
  • Federico Mancuello 71' goal
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 80' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 6'
  • yellowcard Alex Luna 13'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcon 45'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Requena 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Manuel Roffo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jonas Acevedo 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 19, 2024 1.00am
3
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • Ignacio Russo 3' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 3' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 10' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 10' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Manuel Roffo 84' yellowcard
  • Manuel Roffo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • goal Alex Luna 15'
  • goal Alex Luna 15'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 54'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 90'+1'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Feb 18, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • Roberto Bochi 39' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Russo 52' yellowcard
  • Juan Franco 63' yellowcard
  • Stefano Moreyra 68' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Cerato 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 17'
  • goal Gabriel Neves 26'
  • goal Lucas Gonzalez 32'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isla 37'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 64'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Alexis Canelo 25' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Damian Perez 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Corda 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Gaston Lodico 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcon 54'
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 60'