Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2026 9.00pm
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 1.00am
Talleres 0 - 3 Lanus
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Dylan Aquino

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.30am
Independiente 0 - 1 Platense
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lanus win with a probability of 47.94%. A draw has a probability of 28.33% and a win for Independiente has a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.49%) , while for a Independiente win it is 0-1 (9.83%).

Result

Lanus 47.94% (+0.05)
Draw 28.33% (-0.02)
Independiente 23.73% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.74% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.24% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 36.76% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 35.96% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.04% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.6% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 83.4% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 8.23% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.77% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Lanus 30.84% (-0.11)
Draw 50.54% (+0.15)
Independiente 18.62% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Lanus 52.72% (+0.04)
No Goal 11.53% (+0.02)
Independiente 35.75% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 49.41% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.54% (-0.02)
Under 8 39.04% (+0.05)
Over 9 38.39% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.02% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.59% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 28.68% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.32% (+0.04)

Lanus Goals

Over 1.5 36.82%
Under 1.5 63.18%
Over 2.5 14.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.32%
Under 3.5 95.68%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 54.82% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 45.18% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 19% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 81% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 4.64% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.36% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lanus 47.94%
Draw 28.34%
Independiente 23.73%
Lanus
1-0 @ 15.41% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 47.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.53% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.34%
Independiente
0-1 @ 9.83% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99% (-0.03)
Total : 23.73%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Ignacio Pussetto 52' yellowcard
  • Matias Abaldo 57' goal
  • Matías Abaldo 57' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Gabriel Ávalos 63' goal
  • Luciano Cabral 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 76' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cabral 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 77' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzantti 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Sepulveda 65'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 65'
  • yellowcard Matías Sepúlveda 65'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cabrera 76'
  • yellowcard Thomas De Martis 76'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cabrera 77'
  • yellowcard Thomas De Martis 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Besozzi 82'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 13, 2025 1.15am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 6, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
  • Agustin Cardozo 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelino Moreno 21' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Salvio 61' goal
  • Diego Agustin Medina 62' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Galdames 3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 64'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Oct 18, 2024 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
  • Ramiro Carrera 21' yellowcard
  • Luciano Boggio 74' redcard
  • Julio Soler 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Gabriel Montiel 36'
  • goal Federico Mancuello 54'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 79'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 84'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
May 28, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Aug 13, 2022 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nicolas Pasquini 13' yellowcard
  • Jose Sand 20' goal
  • Jose Sand 29' yellowcard
  • Fernando Monetti 57' yellowcard
  • Braian Aguirre 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 13'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 54'
  • goal Leandro Benegas 83'