Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Lanus
Aug 17, 2026 9.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Independiente
  • Allan Wlk 50' goal
  • Ramiro Carrera 69' yellowcard
  • Benjamín Acosta 89' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Carrera 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Lautaro Millán 37'
  • goal Lautaro Millán 47'
  • yellowcard Iván Marcone 87'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Ávalos 87'
  • goal Maximiliano Gutiérrez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rey  90'+5'

Lanus vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 1.00am
Talleres 0 - 3 Lanus
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Dylan Aquino

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.30am
Independiente 0 - 1 Platense
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.81% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%) , while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Lanus 47.57% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 27.81% ▼ (-0.50)
Independiente 24.65% ▲ (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.19% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 36.81% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 35.81% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 64.19% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 16.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 83.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 8.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 91.57% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Lanus 30.13% ▼ (-0.75)
Draw 51.39% ▲ (+1.04)
Independiente 18.48% ▼ (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Lanus 51.33% ▼ (-1.27)
No Goal 11.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Independiente 37.31% ▲ (+1.36)

Corners

Over 8 47.31% ▼ (-1.97)
Equal 8 11.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 8 41.01% ▲ (+1.83)
Over 9 36.34% ▼ (-1.92)
Equal 9 10.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 52.69% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 10.5 26.84% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 10.5 73.16% ▲ (+1.73)

Lanus Goals

Over 1.5 36.45% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 63.55% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 13.76% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 86.24% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 4.31%
Under 3.5 95.69%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 55.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 44.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 19.49% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 80.51% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 4.91% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 95.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 1.16% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 98.84% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Lanus 47.57%
Draw 27.82%
Independiente 24.66%
Lanus
1-0 @ 15.4% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.82%
Independiente
0-1 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 24.66%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Independiente
Feb 13, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Lanus
  • Ignacio Pussetto 52' yellowcard
  • Matias Abaldo 57' goal
  • Matías Abaldo 57' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Gabriel Ávalos 63' goal
  • Luciano Cabral 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 76' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cabral 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 77' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzantti 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Sepulveda 65'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 65'
  • yellowcard Matías Sepúlveda 65'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cabrera 76'
  • yellowcard Thomas De Martis 76'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cabrera 77'
  • yellowcard Thomas De Martis 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Besozzi 82'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Oct 13, 2025 1.15am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Lanus
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Lanus
Apr 6, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Independiente
  • Agustin Cardozo 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelino Moreno 21' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Salvio 61' goal
  • Diego Agustin Medina 62' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Galdames 3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 64'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Lanus
Oct 18, 2024 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Independiente
  • Ramiro Carrera 21' yellowcard
  • Luciano Boggio 74' redcard
  • Julio Soler 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Gabriel Montiel 36'
  • goal Federico Mancuello 54'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 79'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 84'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Independiente
May 28, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Lanus
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 12' goal
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
  • goal Jose Sand 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Lanus
Aug 13, 2022 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Independiente
  • Nicolas Pasquini 13' yellowcard
  • Jose Sand 20' goal
  • Jose Sand 29' yellowcard
  • Fernando Monetti 57' yellowcard
  • Braian Aguirre 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 13'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 54'
  • goal Leandro Benegas 83'

Form Data

Talleres 0 - 3 Lanus
Union 2 - 1 Lanus
Lanus 0 - 1 Instituto
Cienciano 4 - 0 Lanus
Lanus 1 - 0 San Lorenzo
Lanus 2 - 0 Cienciano
Independiente 0 - 1 Platense
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 0 Newell's OB
Estudiantes 0 - 2 Independiente
Rosario 3 - 1 Independiente
San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente