Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Estudiantes
Jul 26, 2026 9.15pm
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Independiente

Estudiantes vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 10, 2026 9.00pm
Estudiantes 0 - 1 Racing
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Fabricio Pérez

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 10, 2026 7.00pm
Rosario 3 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estudiantes win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw has a probability of 28.91% and a win for Independiente has a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.73%) , while for a Independiente win it is 0-1 (9.65%).

Result

Estudiantes 44.33%
Draw 28.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Independiente 26.79% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 67% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 33% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 40.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 59.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 20.2% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 79.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 28.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 50.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Independiente 21.21% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 49.11% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 10.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Independiente 40.41% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 48.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 39.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 36.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 51.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 26.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 73.25% ▲ (+0.10)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 37.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 59.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 40.41% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 23.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 76.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 6.89% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 93.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.41% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 44.32%
Draw 28.93%
Independiente 26.79%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 12.91% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 44.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.93%
Independiente
0-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.79%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Independiente
Jan 23, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Estudiantes
  • Luciano Cabral 45' goal
  • Victor Malcorra 59' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Lautaro Millan 59' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 59' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Malcorra 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Fedorco 71' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzantti 72' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 81' yellowcard
  • goal Fabricio Alexis Perez Escudero 46'
  • goal Fabricio Pérez 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Iacovich 46'
  • yellowcard Edwuin Cetre 64'
  • yellowcard Edwuin Cetré 64'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 68'
  • yellowcard Lucas Dante Cornejo 68'
  • yellowcard Eros Mancuso 68'
  • yellowcard Franco Domínguez 79'
  • yellowcard F. Domínguez 79'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Estudiantes
Aug 12, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Independiente
  • Santiago Ascacibar 31' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 31' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 81' redcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 81' redcard
  • Tiago Palacios 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tiago Palacios 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Facundo Rodriguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Facundo Rodriguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Lomonaco 34'
  • goal Kevin Lomonaco 34'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lopez 41'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lopez 41'
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 43'
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 43'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 62'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 62'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 66'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 66'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 79'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 79'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Maestro Puch 88'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Maestro Puch 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Independiente
Apr 9, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Estudiantes
  • Zaid Romero 84' goal
  • goal Jorge Rodriguez 50'
  • goal Zaid Romero 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Independiente
Jun 21, 2022 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Estudiantes
  • Alex Vigo 37' yellowcard
  • Leandro Benegas 52' goal
  • Leandro Fernandez 57' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 30'
  • goal Leonardo Godoy 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Spetale 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Estudiantes
Feb 13, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Independiente
  • Gustavo Del Prete 20' yellowcard
  • Mauro Boselli 46' goal
  • Agustin Rogel 53' goal
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 22'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 61'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 82'
Copa Diego Maradona
Estudiantes
Jul 26, 2021 12.15am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Independiente
  • goal Juan Manuel Insaurralde 15'

Form Data

Estudiantes 1 - 0 Medellin
Flamengo 1 - 0 Estudiantes
Estudiantes 0 - 1 Racing
Garcilaso 1 - 1 Estudiantes
Platense 0 - 2 Estudiantes
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Flamengo
Rosario 3 - 1 Independiente
San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
Deportivo Riestra 2 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 3 - 1 Defensa
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 0 Racing