Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
Aug 3, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Independiente
  • Dilan Godoy 42' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Schelotto 47' yellowcard
  • Thiago Aguirre 70' goal
  • Matías Pellegrini 72' yellowcard
  • Simón Valentín Escobar 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Gutiérrez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Santiago Montiel 53'

Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 11.00pm
Talleres 1 - 3 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 1.15am
Independiente 1 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 40.99% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 28.51% ▼ (-0.48)
Independiente 30.51% ▲ (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.47% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 39.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 60.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 19.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 80.8% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 9.62% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 90.38% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 26.8% ▼ (-0.72)
Draw 49.26% ▼ (-0.25)
Independiente 23.95% ▲ (+0.97)

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 47.37% ▲ (+1.58)
No Goal 10.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Independiente 42.01% ▼ (-1.50)

Corners

Over 8 49.48% ▲ (+1.40)
Equal 8 12.45% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 8 38.08% ▼ (-1.77)
Over 9 37.59% ▲ (+0.93)
Equal 9 11.89% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 9 50.52% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 10.5 27.2% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 10.5 72.81% ▼ (-0.43)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 34.1% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 65.9% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 12.3% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 87.7% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 61.71% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 38.29% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 26.27% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 73.73% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 2.5 8.39% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 91.61% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 2.04% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.96% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 40.98%
Draw 28.51%
Independiente 30.52%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.88% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 40.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.51%
Independiente
0-1 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 30.52%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division
Independiente
Jan 31, 2026 10.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Velez Sarsfield
  • Jano Gordon 32' goal
  • Giovanni Lautaro Millan 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Zavala 46' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Zabala 46' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jano Gordon 31'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Monzon 64'
  • yellowcard Florián Monzón 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Zahir Verón 75'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 75'
  • yellowcard Á. Verón 75'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Velez Sarsfield
Aug 17, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Independiente
Feb 12, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Gabriel Avalos 31' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 43' goal
  • Kevin Lomonaco 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gabriel Montiel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cabral 78' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Cavanagh 54'
  • yellowcard Elias Gomez 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Independiente
May 27, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 67' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 67'
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 68'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Velez Sarsfield
Jan 31, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Independiente
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Independiente
Aug 27, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Cristian Baez 19' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 51' goal
  • Joaquin Laso 87' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 90'+5' goal
  • Ivan Marcone 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 13'
  • redcard Sebastian Mendez 14'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Gianetti 56'
  • goal Santiago Castro 83'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Abiel Osorio 90'+8'

Form Data

Talleres 1 - 3 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Instituto
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Gimnasia
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 1 Newell's OB
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 2 Union
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Independiente 1 - 0 Newell's OB
Estudiantes 0 - 2 Independiente
Rosario 3 - 1 Independiente
San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
Deportivo Riestra 2 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 3 - 1 Defensa