Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
Aug 3, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio José Amalfitani
Independiente

Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 11.00pm
Talleres 1 - 3 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 1.15am
Independiente 1 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Independiente has a probability of 30.51% and a draw has a probability of 28.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Independiente win is 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.51%).

Result

Velez Sarsfield 40.99% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 28.51% ▼ (-0.48)
Independiente 30.51% ▲ (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.47% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 39.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 60.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 19.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 80.8% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 9.62% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 90.38% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 26.8% ▼ (-0.72)
Draw 49.26% ▼ (-0.25)
Independiente 23.95% ▲ (+0.97)

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 47.37% ▲ (+1.58)
No Goal 10.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Independiente 42.01% ▼ (-1.50)

Corners

Over 8 49.48% ▲ (+1.40)
Equal 8 12.45% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 8 38.08% ▼ (-1.77)
Over 9 37.59% ▲ (+0.93)
Equal 9 11.89% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 9 50.52% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 10.5 27.2% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 10.5 72.81% ▼ (-0.43)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 34.1% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 65.9% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 12.3% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 87.7% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 61.71% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 38.29% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 26.27% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 73.73% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 2.5 8.39% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 91.61% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 2.04% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.96% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 40.98%
Draw 28.51%
Independiente 30.52%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.88% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 40.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.51%
Independiente
0-1 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 30.52%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division
Independiente
Jan 31, 2026 10.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Velez Sarsfield
  • Jano Gordon 32' goal
  • Giovanni Lautaro Millan 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Zavala 46' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Zabala 46' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jano Gordon 31'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Monzon 64'
  • yellowcard Florián Monzón 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Zahir Verón 75'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 75'
  • yellowcard Á. Verón 75'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Velez Sarsfield
Aug 17, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Independiente
Feb 12, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Gabriel Avalos 31' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 43' goal
  • Kevin Lomonaco 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gabriel Montiel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cabral 78' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Cavanagh 54'
  • yellowcard Elias Gomez 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Independiente
May 27, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 67' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 67'
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 68'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Velez Sarsfield
Jan 31, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Independiente
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Independiente
Aug 27, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Cristian Baez 19' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 51' goal
  • Joaquin Laso 87' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 90'+5' goal
  • Ivan Marcone 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 13'
  • redcard Sebastian Mendez 14'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Gianetti 56'
  • goal Santiago Castro 83'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Abiel Osorio 90'+8'

Form Data

Talleres 1 - 3 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Instituto
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Gimnasia
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 1 Newell's OB
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 2 Union
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Independiente 1 - 0 Newell's OB
Estudiantes 0 - 2 Independiente
Rosario 3 - 1 Independiente
San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
Deportivo Riestra 2 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 3 - 1 Defensa