Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Velez Sarsfield
Jul 24, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Instituto
  • Manuel Lanzini 45'+1' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silvero 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matías Gallardo 18'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcón  45'+2'

Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 11, 2026 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Gimnasia
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 5, 2026 1.30am
Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0 - 2 Instituto
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Alex Luna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.24% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%) , while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 45.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 28.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Instituto 26.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.04% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 40.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 59.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 20.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.38% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 27.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 51.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Instituto 21.8% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 49.02% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 10.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Instituto 40.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 33.13%
Over 9 42.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 45.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 67.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 38.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.93% ▲ (+0.02)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 58.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 76.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.29% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 45.13%
Draw 28.24%
Instituto 26.64%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 5%
Total : 45.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.24%
Instituto
0-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.64%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Instituto
Jan 23, 2026 1.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades
Velez Sarsfield
  • Manuel Romero 65' yellowcard
  • Manuel Romero  65' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Luca Rafaelli 79' yellowcard
  • Luca Klimowicz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Valdes 75'
  • yellowcard Matías Arias 75'
  • yellowcard Diego Valdés 75'
  • yellowcard Michael Santos 86'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • goal Tobías Andrada 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Mammana 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Tobías Andrada 90'+5'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
Jul 26, 2025 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Instituto
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Instituto
Feb 3, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Velez Sarsfield
  • Lucas Rodriguez 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 26' yellowcard
  • Damian Batallini 27' yellowcard
  • Damian Batallini 27' yellowcard
  • Alex Luna 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Luna 28' yellowcard
  • Gaston Lodico 43' goal
  • Gaston Lodico 43' goal
  • Damian Batallini 51' goal
  • Damian Batallini 51' goal
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 30'
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 30'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 34'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 34'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 51'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 51'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Velez Sarsfield
Aug 18, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Instituto
  • Juan Franco 3' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 15' goal
  • Braian Romero 15' goal
  • Valentin Gomez 34' yellowcard
  • Fernando Alarcon 53' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Garcia 53' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Garcia 53' yellowcard
  • Christian Ordonez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Christian Ordonez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 3'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 34'
  • yellowcard Jonas Acevedo 40'
  • yellowcard Jonas Acevedo 40'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcon 53'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Velez Sarsfield
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Instituto
  • Valentin Gomez 9' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gomez 9' yellowcard
  • Thiago Fernandez 21' yellowcard
  • Thiago Fernandez 21' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Garcia 51' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Garcia 51' yellowcard
  • Elias Gomez 81' goal
  • Elias Gomez 81' goal
  • yellowcard Guido Mainero 28'
  • yellowcard Guido Mainero 28'
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 43'
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 43'
  • yellowcard Brahian Cuello 65'
  • yellowcard Brahian Cuello 65'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Instituto
Oct 29, 2023 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Velez Sarsfield
  • goal Claudio Aquino 29'
  • goal Claudio Aquino 29'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Gianetti 36'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Gianetti 36'

Form Data

Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Gimnasia
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 1 Newell's OB
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 2 Union
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 C. Cordoba
Gimnasia Mendoza 3 - 2 Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0 - 2 Instituto
Newell's OB 1 - 1 Instituto
Instituto 0 - 1 Estudiantes
Deportivo Riestra 0 - 1 Instituto
Instituto 2 - 0 Defensa
Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Instituto