Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 11, 2026 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Jonathan Calleri 20' goal
  • Gustavo Santana 24' yellowcard
  • Djhordney 44' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 70' goal
  • Sabino 77' yellowcard
  • Iago 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cacá 16'
  • yellowcard Matheuzinho 16'
  • goal Emmanuel Martínez 39'
  • yellowcard Renato Kayzer 86'

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2026 1.30am
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Luciano

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2026 12.00am
Vitoria 4 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.46% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 63.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 22.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Vitoria 13.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.51% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 27.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 47.04% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 52.96% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 24.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 75.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 14.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 85.57% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 44.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 42.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Vitoria 13.24% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 67.12% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 7.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Vitoria 25.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.73% ▼ (-0.32)
Equal 8 10.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 23.68% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 9 54.21% ▼ (-0.30)
Equal 9 11.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 34.27% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 10.5 42.76% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 10.5 57.24% ▲ (+0.25)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 54.26% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 45.74% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 26.21% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 73.79% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 10.2% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 89.8% ▼ (-0.11)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 46.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 53.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 15.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 84.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 99.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 63.75%
Draw 22.47%
Vitoria 13.75%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 14.66% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 13.13% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.3%
3-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 63.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.47%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4%
0-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 13.75%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Cacá 35' goal
  • Zé Vitor 66' yellowcard
  • Zé Vitor 68' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 71' yellowcard
  • Renê 71' yellowcard
  • Renê 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 73' yellowcard
  • Ramon 83' goal
  • Ronald 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cédric Soares 57'
  • yellowcard Tetê 57'
  • yellowcard Wendell 66'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 66'
  • yellowcard Lucca 78'
  • yellowcard Lucca 79'
Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Camutanga 20' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baralhas 68' goal
  • Gabriel Baralhas 70' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 86' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • Ronald 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferreira 42'
Brasileiro
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • William Gomes Carvalho Santos 6' goal
  • Erick 30' goal
  • goal Alerrandro 62'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 86'
  • yellowcard Jose Hugo 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Wagner Leonardo 7' redcard
  • Bruno Uvini 25' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 49' goal
  • Lucas Esteves 60' yellowcard
  • Dudu 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Bobadilla 14'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 36'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 36'
  • goal Luciano 45'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 45'
  • goal Luciano 53'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 82'
  • goal Nahuel Ferraresi 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 26, 2018 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Riberio 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hudson 32'
  • goal Bruno Alves 37'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 45'
  • redcard Jean 95'