Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 20, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 8.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Renê

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.00am
Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 32.26% and a draw has a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result

Vitoria 41.57% (-0.26)
Draw 26.17% (+0.09)
Cruzeiro 32.26% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.93% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.85% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 26.15% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 49.35% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 50.65% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 26.45% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 73.55% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 14.35% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 85.65% (+0.28)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 31.27% (+0.06)
Draw 45.63% (-0.06)
Cruzeiro 23.1%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 52.32% (+0.17)
No Goal 7.21% (+0.14)
Cruzeiro 40.47% (-0.31)

Corners

Over 8 59.42% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.48% (+0.05)
Under 8 29.1% (+0.16)
Over 9 47.58% (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.58% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 36.39% (-0.21)
Under 10.5 63.61% (+0.21)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 39.63% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 60.37% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 15.55% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 84.45% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 5.05% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.95% (+0.16)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 67.23%
Under 0.5 32.77%
Over 1.5 32.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.36% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.99% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88.01% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.52%
Under 3.5 96.48%

Score analysis

Vitoria 41.57%
Draw 26.18%
Cruzeiro 32.26%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 10.51% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.83% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.04% (-0.17)
Total : 41.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.21% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.18%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 8.44% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Christian 33' goal
  • Kauã Moraes 36' goal
  • Kaio Jorge  39' goal
  • Wanderson 68' yellowcard
  • Chico da Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Fagner 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 82' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zé Vitor 46'
  • yellowcard Renê 46'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 83'
Brasileiro
Nov 1, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 12, 2025 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlos Moises de Lima 77' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 43'
  • redcard Carlos Eduardo 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 45'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 20, 2024 12.00am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Osvaldo 25' goal
  • Osvaldo 25' goal
  • Alerrandro 29' goal
  • Alerrandro 29' goal
  • Neris 38' redcard
  • Neris 38' redcard
  • Leo Naldi 78' yellowcard
  • Leo Naldi 78' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dinenno 78'
  • goal Juan Dinenno 78'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 83'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 83'
  • goal Juan Dinenno 84'
  • goal Juan Dinenno 84'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Walace 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Walace 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 28, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 50' goal
  • Rafael Silva 58' goal
  • Arthur 75' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 78' yellowcard
  • Rafael Elias 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Silva 52' (OG)
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Nov 21, 2018 11.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aderlan 43' goal
  • Fred 55' goal
  • Fred 72' goal
  • Ezequiel 75' yellowcard
  • Ederson 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aderlan 45'