Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Vitoria
Sep 20, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
Cruzeiro
  • Renê 39' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Jesus 40'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Jesus 41'
  • goal Keny Arroyo 46'
  • goal Lucas Villalba 66'
  • yellowcard Gerson 78'
  • yellowcard Felipe Morais 87'
  • goal Matheus Pereira 90'+7'

Vitoria vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 8.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Renê

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.00am
Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 41.57%
Draw 26.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Cruzeiro 32.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 26.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.65%
Over 3.5 26.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.55%
Over 4.5 14.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.68% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 31.27%
Draw 45.63%
Cruzeiro 23.1%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 52.31% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Cruzeiro 40.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.42%
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 29.1%
Over 9 47.58%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 40.58%
Over 10.5 36.39%
Under 10.5 63.61%

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 39.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 67.23%
Under 0.5 32.77%
Over 1.5 32.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Vitoria 41.56%
Draw 26.21%
Cruzeiro 32.27%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 41.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.21%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.27%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Cruzeiro
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Vitoria
  • Christian 33' goal
  • Kauã Moraes 36' goal
  • Kaio Jorge  39' goal
  • Wanderson 68' yellowcard
  • Chico da Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Fagner 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 82' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zé Vitor 46'
  • yellowcard Renê 46'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 83'
Brasileiro
Cruzeiro
Nov 1, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Vitoria
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Vitoria
Jun 12, 2025 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cruzeiro
  • Carlos Moises de Lima 77' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 43'
  • redcard Carlos Eduardo 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 45'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Vitoria
Aug 20, 2024 12.00am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
Cruzeiro
  • Osvaldo 25' goal
  • Osvaldo 25' goal
  • Alerrandro 29' goal
  • Alerrandro 29' goal
  • Neris 38' redcard
  • Neris 38' redcard
  • Leo Naldi 78' yellowcard
  • Leo Naldi 78' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dinenno 78'
  • goal Juan Dinenno 78'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 83'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 83'
  • goal Juan Dinenno 84'
  • goal Juan Dinenno 84'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Walace 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Walace 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Cruzeiro
Apr 28, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Vitoria
  • Matheus Pereira 50' goal
  • Rafael Silva 58' goal
  • Arthur 75' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 78' yellowcard
  • Rafael Elias 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Silva 52' (OG)
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Cruzeiro
Nov 21, 2018 11.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Vitoria
  • Aderlan 43' goal
  • Fred 55' goal
  • Fred 72' goal
  • Ezequiel 75' yellowcard
  • Ederson 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aderlan 45'

Form Data

Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria
Vitoria 1 - 0 Gremio
Vitoria 0 - 2 Vasco
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Vitoria
Vasco 1 - 0 Vitoria
Vitoria 0 - 2 Bahia
Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Athletico PR
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Vasco 3 - 1 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Flamengo