Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 8, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Erick 48' yellowcard
  • Caíque Gonçalves 55' yellowcard
  • Renê 63' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Gabriel 36'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavón 38'
  • yellowcard Caio Paulista 48'
  • yellowcard Erick Noriega 59'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 79'

Vitoria vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Renê

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 10.30pm
Gremio 3 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.24% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 49.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 26.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Gremio 24.09% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.49% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 28.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 53.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.98% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 32.54%
Draw 48.11%
Gremio 19.34%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 55.37% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Gremio 36.14%

Corners

Over 8 55.88%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 32.58%
Over 9 44.29%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 44.12%
Over 10.5 33.6%
Under 10.5 66.4%

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 44.28% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.72% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 19.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.3% ▼ (-0.04)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 58.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 24.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 75.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Vitoria 49.6%
Draw 26.25%
Gremio 24.09%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.37% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 49.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.25%
Gremio
0-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Mar 19, 2026 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Camutanga 27' goal
  • Francis Amuzu 54' goal
  • Miguel Monsalve 56' yellowcard
  • Erick Noriega 56' yellowcard
  • Caio Paulista 76' yellowcard
  • Tetê 86' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Mec 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aitor Cantalapiedra 75'
  • yellowcard Renzo López 75'
  • yellowcard Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 87'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 87'
  • yellowcard Anderson Pato 90'+3'
Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Pepe 12' yellowcard
  • Carlos Moises de Lima 55' yellowcard
  • Carlos Moises de Lima 66' goal
  • Claudinho 70' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 76' yellowcard
  • goal Jemerson 20'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 22'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 4, 2024 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Neris 51' yellowcard
  • Thiago Carpini 52' yellowcard
  • Alerrandro 67' goal
  • goal Joao Pedro 37'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Felipe Carballo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 63' goal
  • Reinaldo 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Willians Assis Arcanjo 17'
  • yellowcard Leo Naldi 23'
  • yellowcard Janderson 35'
  • yellowcard Lawan Kennyd Gabriel Santos 52'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 60'
  • yellowcard Thiago Carpini 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Reynaldo 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Nov 25, 2018 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Willian Farias 17' yellowcard
  • Jeferson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michel 29'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 42'
  • yellowcard Cicero Santos 51'
  • yellowcard Pedro Geromel 86'