Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 11, 2026 9.30pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2026 11.30pm
Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Pedro

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 4 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw has a probability of 20.26% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.83%) and 2-1 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.37%) , while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (4.42%).

Result

Flamengo 68.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 20.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Fluminense 10.9% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.6% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.65% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 26.35% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 49.05% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 50.95% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 26.48% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 73.52% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 16.71% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 4.5 83.29% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 53.12% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 35.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Fluminense 11.69% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 73.49% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 7.21% ▼ (-0.09)
Fluminense 19.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.89% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 30.1% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 9 47.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.11% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 10.5 36.89% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 10.5 63.11% ▲ (+0.11)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 58.45% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 41.55% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 30.16% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 69.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 12.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 87.2% ▼ (-0.08)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 42.93% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 57.07% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 12.66% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 87.34% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 2.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 97.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 0.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 68.84%
Draw 20.26%
Fluminense 10.9%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 14.72% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 13.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 12.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 68.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.37%
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.26%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12%
0-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 10.9%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Ganso 7' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Castillo 65' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 65' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 66' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 76' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 86' yellowcard
  • Guga 86' yellowcard
  • Guga 87' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 87' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro 7'
  • goal Pedro 51'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  67'
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 73'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 73'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araújo 81'
  • yellowcard Danilo 81'
Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 20, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 18, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Bruno Henrique 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 23' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 45'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 45'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 50'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 50'
  • goal Jhon Arias 60'
  • goal Jhon Arias 60'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 62'
  • yellowcard Ganso 71'
  • yellowcard Ganso 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Fernando Diniz 0' redcard
  • Ganso 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Terans 80' yellowcard
  • Fernando Diniz 89' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 90'+1' redcard
  • yellowcard David Luiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Leo Ortiz 63'
  • goal Pedro 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 11, 2023 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 45'+2' goal
  • Erick Pulgar 66' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 22'
  • yellowcard Ganso 35'
  • goal Yony Gonzalez 62'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 81'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 90'+4'
  • redcard Nino 90'+6'