Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 8, 2026 11.30pm
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 12.00am
Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 10.30pm
Flamengo 2 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 42.12%. A draw has a probability of 28.98% and a win for Santos has a probability of 28.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.26%) , while for a Santos win it is 1-0 (9.43%).

Result

Santos 28.91%
Draw 28.98%
Flamengo 42.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 31.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 43.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78%
Over 4.5 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.61% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Santos 25.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 47.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Flamengo 27.08% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Santos 42.52% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 9.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Flamengo 47.6% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 33.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 43.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 45.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 33.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 66.58% ▲ (+0.08)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 27.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 72.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 37.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Santos 28.9%
Draw 28.98%
Flamengo 42.11%
Santos
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 28.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.98%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 42.11%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Zé Ivaldo 64' goal
  • Bruno Henrique  65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paquetá 65' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 71' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 81' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 82' yellowcard
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 86' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paquetá 89' goal
  • goal Lautaro Díaz 48'
  • yellowcard Moisés 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 72'
  • yellowcard Willian Arão 72'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 82'
  • yellowcard Zé Rafael  90'+6'
Brasileiro
Nov 9, 2025 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 17, 2025 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 1, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 21' goal
  • Gerson 42' redcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 50' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 90'+5' redcard
  • Bruno Henrique 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Nonato 33'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Braga 75'
  • goal Joaquim 89'
  • redcard Lucas Braga 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 10.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Stiven Mendoza 40' goal
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 52' goal
  • goal Everton 22'
  • goal Everton Ribeiro 50'
  • goal Erick Pulgar 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pedro 45'+5' goal
  • Marinho 79' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 87' goal
  • goal Alex 53'
  • goal Gabriel Carabajal 90'+7'