Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 10.30pm
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 1.00am
Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw has a probability of 29.68% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.73%) , while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (8.74%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 46.67% (-0.18)
Draw 29.68% (+0.06)
Fluminense 23.69% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.28% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.72% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 35.28% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 39.4% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 60.6% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 19.54% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.47%
Over 4.5 10.62% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.38% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 29.45% (-0.07)
Draw 51.22% (+0.04)
Fluminense 19.33% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 53.22% (+0.11)
No Goal 11.71% (+0.05)
Fluminense 35.07% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 55.29% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 32.85% (+0.04)
Over 9 43.43% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.71% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 32.57% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 67.43% (+0.03)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 38.53% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 61.47% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 14.79% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.21% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.78% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.22% (+0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 56.08% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 43.92% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 21.94% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.06% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.25% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.75% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.68%
Under 3.5 98.32%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 46.66%
Draw 29.68%
Fluminense 23.69%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.86% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.54% (-0.01)
Total : 46.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 11.71% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.03)
Total : 29.68%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8.74% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.44% (+0.03)
Total : 23.69%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 21, 2026 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Rodrigo Castillo 29' goal
  • Ganso 86' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 87' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo  87' yellowcard
  • Ganso 87' yellowcard
  • Alisson 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomás Cuello 59'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 59'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 68'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 68'
  • yellowcard Reinier 89'
Brasileiro
Oct 4, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Rubens 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 52' yellowcard
  • Rubens 77' goal
  • Junior Santos 84' goal
  • Igor Gomes 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 33'
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 56'
  • yellowcard Nonato 67'
  • goal Kevin Serna 88'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 25, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Hulk 28' yellowcard
  • Bernard 44' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 50' goal
  • Deyverson 63' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 88' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Fuentes 74'
  • yellowcard Fabio 84'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 90'+9'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 18, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Vinicius Lima 80' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 87' goal
  • Thiago 90' yellowcard
  • Brahian Palacios 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 78'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Bruno Fuchs 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fuchs 23' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 42' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 42' yellowcard
  • Rubens 63' yellowcard
  • Rubens 63' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 78' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 78' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Serna 23'
  • goal Kevin Serna 23'
  • yellowcard Ganso 43'
  • yellowcard Ganso 43'
  • goal Jhon Arias 59'
  • goal Jhon Arias 59'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 71'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 71'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 74'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 74'
  • yellowcard Fabio 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabio 90'+3'